College Football Picks: Weekend Upsets in Week 11

Darin Zank

Thursday, November 7, 2013 6:30 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 7, 2013 6:30 PM UTC

We know there will be at least a few upsets in college football this week; there are every week. Sometimes we can see them coming, sometimes they come from out of absolutely nowhere.

This week presents a slew of potential upsets, with some good teams dogged on the NCAAF odds. Here's a short list of potential upsets for college football Week 11, that you should consider before making your NCAAF pick.

Stanford +10 vs. Oregon - (Thursday)

The Cardinal upset the Ducks in Eugene last year as 18-point dogs; why wouldn't they be able to do it again on their home field?

This game will probably decide the Pac-12 North; Oregon is 5-0 in conference play, Stanford 5-1.

The Cardinal beat the Ducks last year by doing a couple of things; they ran the ball 46 times for 200 yards, which allowed them to possess the ball for 37 minutes; and they “held” UO to 198 yards on the ground. Stanford will likely try to use the same game plan Thursday night.

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Oklahoma +14 at Baylor (Thursday)

If, before this season started, someone told us Baylor would be favored by two touchdowns over the Sooners in Week 11, we'd have assumed OU had suffered some kind of breakdown, perhaps because of a severe bite from the injury bug.

But that's hasn't happened. Oklahoma has only lost once, to Texas, and still has a chance at the Big 12 title and a major bowl. So what's the story?

The Bears are - as in 720 yards and 64 points per game!

However, let's remember, the two toughest teams Baylor has played so far have probably been Buffalo and Kansas State.  

It will be interesting to see how the Bears offense fares against the Sooners' 10th-ranked defense. And vice versa.

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LSU +12 at Alabama

If anybody is going to beat the Tide, it might as well be the Tigers.

LSU lost to Alabama last year 21-17 on a late touchdown, and actually out-gained the Tide that day by almost 100 yards. Tigers QB Zach Mettenberger had one of his best days, throwing for 298 yards and one score, with no interceptions, against the vaunted 'Bama defense.

With two conference losses LSU is probably out of the running in the SEC West; but you know Coach Miles and the boys would love nothing more than to spoil Alabama's run at another national title.

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Virginia Tech +6.5 at Miami

The Hurricanes were rolling along this season, but they've been exposed a bit the last three weeks. They needed a late score to beat North Carolina, then almost got upset by Wake Forest. Last week Miami got pounded by Florida State 41-14, dropping from the ranks of the undefeated.

Virginia Tech hasn't exactly done much lately to inspire confidence, losing consecutive games to Duke and Boston College. But the Hokies are still alive in the Coastal Division race; a victory Saturday would help, and they already own the head-to-head tie-breaker over Georgia Tech.

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Tennessee +7 vs. Auburn

The Vols upset South Carolina at home a few weeks ago, but have posted a couple of lackluster performances since then, losing at Alabama and at Missouri. But Tennessee is 4-1 SU at Neyland Stadium this year, the only loss coming in overtime to Georgia, so maybe the Vols are due for another upset performance.

Auburn has been a great story so far, bouncing back from a 3-9 record of last year to win eight of its first nine games this year. But we'll really get a good idea of who the Tigers are over the next three weeks, as they play this game in Knoxville, then host Georgia, then host the Iron Bowl against Alabama.

Coach Jones is trying to re-instill the former glory of the Rocky Top advantage, and a win Saturday for Homecoming would go a long way toward that goal.

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