College Football Picks: Week 5 NCAAF Value Bets

Joe Catalano

Thursday, September 26, 2013 2:59 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 26, 2013 2:59 PM UTC

It’s already week 5 of the college football season and this should be a tight weekend in which there are a lot of competitive inter-conference battles.

#23 Wisconsin (2-1) at #4 Ohio State (3-0)

Perfect Under Urban Meyer

A lot of people want to see the real battle of who would win between the dominant Alabama Crimson Tide versus a team in Ohio State that hasn’t lost a single game on head coach Urban Meyer’s watch. Ohio State is so dominant that they beat a lowly Florida A&M with their backup quarterback, 76-0!

Braxton Returns

The competition gets more fierce and Braxton Miller will return behind center for the Buckeyes against the Badgers. Miller is returning from a knee injury, regardless, Ohio State is secure at the quarterback position.

Backup QB, Kenny Guiton has been dominant, passing for 664 yards, 13 TD and 2 INT in nearly 3 games. Guiton also set a first half record last week with 6 touchdown passes against Florida A&M.

Ohio State’s defense will need to be ready as it faces one of the best rushing teams in the nation in Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off of a huge 41-10 victory over Purdue in which the Badgers rushed for 388 yards with both Melvin Gordon and James White eclipsing the 140 yards each.

Look for Wisconsin to slow down the pace by quickening the clock in the form of ball control on the ground as they don’t want this game to be a shootout.

College Football Pick- Wisconsin/Ohio State UNDER 54.5 for your sports picks.


#5 Stanford (3-0) at Washington State (3-1)

Airing It Out

Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan has been very efficient, but his numbers have been pedestrian-like as Stanford’s games have been secure by the 2nd half. This week, he and the Cardinal defense face a Washington Cougars team that will put Stanford to the test as they’re a team that’s not afraid to throw the ball.

In his 1st 4 games, Cougars quarterback, Connor Halliday has thrown for 1288 yards. That said he will need to eliminate the mistakes or this game will be a Stanford blowout. Halliday has thrown 9 interceptions on the season thus far. Washington State is coming off of a 42-0 victory over an Idaho Vandals team but still was -2 on the plus/minus ratio where turnovers are concerned. Turnovers could play a large role in this game.

Stay on top of the College Football Odds at our comprehensive page~

Major Upside

After watching Stanford defeat Arizona State last week, one player that needs to be used more is junior wide receiver Ty Montgomery. This is young man that possesses great speed and can be a game changer as he plays wide receiver and special teams. Keep an eye on Montgomery; Stanford will need him to be a huge part of the offense.

College Football Pick- Washington State +10 for your college football picks (Stanford should win this game, but look for the Cougars to keep it close at home.)


Miami (FL) (3-0) at South Florida (0-3)

The “U” is Back!

Last week ,I wasn’t sure how Miami would fare against Savannah State as a huge 59.5 point betting favorite at most sportsbooks, but they left nothing in doubt as they were up on the Tigers 49-0 at halftime and were victorious by a 77-7 lopsided margin. Savannah State simply didn’t belong on the same field as Miami as they were 1 for 13 on 3rd down conversions and had 4 interceptions on the day.

Now, Miami has a bit tougher task as they take on the winless South Florida Bulls. Miami is a modest 18.5 point betting favorite in this game.

Morris Expected to Play

The senior suffered a bone bruise on around his right ankle and Miami still managed to handle Savannah State, but word is out that he’ll be back and South Florida is a team that Morris flourished against last season as he threw for 413 yards and 3 TD’s. This game is very important to “the U” as they haven’t been 4-0 in nearly a decade. Thanks to the schedule makers, it’s looking like they’ll break the streak.

Miami’s defense ranks 7th in the nation. They have a solid victory over a ranked Florida team and a couple of cupcakes. I don’t see the defense having a problem here with ball control as Duke Johnson will be a major force in the backfield. Wide receiver Allen Hurns was the go to guy last week, but this is a team that has 7 receivers with at least 1 TD this season.

South Florida’s only legitimate opponent this season was Michigan State in week 2 and they were defeated 21-6. USF’s offense was no match for State’s defense as they amassed just 155 total yards of offense for the game. The Bulls are coming off of a 28-10 loss to Florida Atlantic University. The level of competition skyrockets this week and the point spread is a joke; Miami in a rout!

College Football Pick- Miami -18.5 at Bet 365

comment here