College Football Picks: Week 3 Upsets

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 12, 2013 4:02 PM GMT

Let's review two games this week where the best sports betting value may not be on the favorites. Read on for our picks!

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Bowling Green +3.0 @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET

After putting up 73 points in their season opening win over an FCS team, the Hoosiers were humbled a week later. The Navy Midshipmen came into Bloomington and upset Indiana 41-35 as a 12.5-point underdog in the college football odds. The reality is that hidden behind all the accolades the Hoosiers offense are receiving for their impressive output in the first 2 games, is the fact their defense has been atrocious. The Hoosiers stop unit has allowed an average of 38.0 points per game and 410.5 totals yard per outing in the first 2 contests.

Bowling Green has got off to an impressive 2-0 start by knocking off Tulsa 34-7 in their season opener, and then defeating conference rival Kent St. on the road last week 41-22. Besides the lopsided final scores the one statistic the jumps off the page at me is the Falcons time of possession. Bowling Green had the ball for a combined 75:19 in the two games compared to the opposition’s 44:41. That’s a huge disparity no matter how you cut it. The Falcons will soar in Bloomington on Saturday, so consider them for your sports picks.

[gameodds]6/238993/?r3=43-349-192-19-999997-118-238-227/us&r-1=43-349-192-19/us[/gameodds]

Don't forget to check out our College Football Week 3 Value Picks!

East Carolina +7.5 vs. Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET

This isn’t the same caliber of Virginia Tech team that we have seen over the last couple of decades. They went into the season with the #4 running back on the depth chart as their starter, after being decimated by injuries at that position during the spring and summer camps. The Hokies are very inexperienced at wide receiver. Senior starting quarterback Logan Thomas was being lauded as a Heisman Trophy candidate after his sophomore season but the quality of his play has steadily declined since. The Hokies special teams used to have a huge advantage versus the vast majority of their opponents, but that has been no longer the case over the last couple of seasons.

East Carolina enters this contest at 2-0. There’s no denying they’re stepping up in class this week after home wins versus Florida Atlantic and Old Dominion. However Ruffin McNeal’s club comes in with plenty of momentum having won 5 in a row and 7 of their last 8 dating back to last season. Their run defense has been outstanding so far and their pass offense very effective. The Pirates have been a covering machine as a home underdog since the start of the 2004 season. During that time frame, East Carolina has gone 16-7 ATS as a home underdog. In addition, as a home underdog of 9 points or less during that same span they’re 10-5 SU&ATS. The dog will be let out in Greenville, North Carolina during this affair. Consider East Carolina for your college football picks on Saturday.

[gameodds]6/238994/?r3=43-349-192-19-999997-118-238-227/us&r-1=43-349-192-19/us[/gameodds]

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