College Football Picks: Week 11 NCAAF Value Picks

Joe Freda

Thursday, November 7, 2013 9:17 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 7, 2013 9:17 PM UTC

We share 4 of our favorite College Football picks for the Week 11 action. Find out where we believe the best value lies.

Last week’s NCAAF Value Picks cashed at 2-1 ATS, including Boston College’s 34-27 victory as a four-point home dog over Virginia Tech. Saturday’s card shifts us to the Big 12 and Pacific 12 for a pair of matchups in each group.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Iowa State Cyclones

TCU has gone 0-4 ATS in its last month of action, capped off by last Saturday’s 30-27 setback to West Virginia as 11-point home ‘chalk.’  The Horned Frogs also dropped this year’s sole spot as a road favorite, losing September’s affair with the Texas Tech Red Raiders, 20-10.

Iowa State has also struggled with five straight losses, but fell short by eight points or less in three of its season’s four home contests. The Cyclones are in position to bounce back after last week’s 41-7 spanking from Kansas State, cashing with an 8-3 spread record in their last 11 duels that followed a spot of scoring less than 20 points.

College Football Pick: Iowa State Cyclones +7 ½ at Bet365

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Texas Longhorns vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

Texas has shown improvement with a string of five victories, but is 0-2 ATS in its pair of duels as road ‘chalk.’  The Longhorns fell short in last year’s battle with West Virginia, 48-45, giving up 480 total yards in their own yard as a 7 ½-point favorite.

WVU snapped a three-game losing streak in last week’s triumph over the Horned Frogs, with Mountaineers running back Charles Sims dashing for a season-high 154 yards (6.4 YPR). Look for West Virginia to collect thanks to its home dog value, holding foes to 20.5 PPG in Morgantown.

College Football Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers +7 at The Greek

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Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Utah Utes

Arizona State has put up some high octane in recent weeks, topped by last Thursday’s 55-21 victory over the Washington State Cougars. The sizable triumph sets up a drop in the betting value for Todd Graham’s crew, while entering Rice-Eccles Stadium with a 1-5-1 ATS mark in its last seven contests on turf.

Utah returns home after dropping a pair of road affairs, capable of its own scoring with 40.4 PPG as part of a 3-2 ATS mark in Salt Lake City. The Utes also look for revenge after being crushed in last September’s 37-7 defeat to the Sun Devils, while enjoying a 14-6 spread record in their last 20 spots that came after a defeat.

College Football Pick: Utah Utes +7 at Heritage Sports

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UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats

UCLA has become overvalued in the college football odds with a 0-3 ATS mark in its latest trio of contests, dipping from a string of five cashed tickets to start the year. The Bruins have been held to 12 PPG in their most recent two road duels, while logging a 0-5 spread record in their last five trips to Tucson.

Arizona gets to enjoy the first of three straight dates on its turf in this spot, while going 2-1 ATS in the team’s prior trio of home affairs. Rich Rodriguez’ troops piled in 36 PPG through those battles, while Wildcats running back Ka’Deem Carey has had a stellar year with 153.2 YPG.

College Football Pick: Arizona Wildcats +1 at 5Dimes

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