College Football Picks: Utah State vs. San Jose State

Jeff Grant

Monday, September 23, 2013 3:14 PM GMT

The San Jose State Spartans and Utah State Aggies have played some high-scoring affairs recently, but should we expect the same when they meet up Friday night? Find out where we have decided to place our college football picks in this showdown.

 

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this Mountain West Conference matchup at Spartan Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 5.

Splitsville 

Utah State has split its first four games, with both losses coming against mid-level Pac-12 Conference opponents, including a 17-14 setback to the USC Trojans as 6.5-point road underdogs last Saturday.

The Aggies have won the statistical battle in all four contests, but failed to score in the first quarter for the first time in 13 games last time out.

Returning home

San Jose State returns home after dropping a pair of road games, including a 43-24 defeat to the Minnesota Golden Gophers as four-point underdogs in Week 3, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in three contests this season.

The Spartans did manage to gain a season-high 486 yards in that affair, as quarterback David Fales continues to impress—ranking second nationally with a 164.8 career passer rating.

Laying it away from Logan

College football handicappers might be scared to lay the points due to the early movement in the market, but it’s important to point out that the Aggies are 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS as road favorites since 2011.

Utah State has one of the more dynamic offensive players in the nation, with quarterback Chuckie Keeton already throwing 14 touchdown passes this season. 

Plenty of weapons 

Fales has plenty of weapons at his disposal in the passing game, but he won’t have wide receiver Noel Grigsby, who is out with a knee injury. 

It’s a major loss for the team, as Grigsby caught 11 passes for 181 yards and two touchdowns in last year’s meeting, but the team still has two other options that have 1,000-plus receiving yards.

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Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Aggieswith their college football picks, as they collected a school-record 13 sacks against the Spartans in 2012, while they’ve gained at least 431 yards in the last four meetings in this series. 

College Football Pick:  Utah State Aggies -8