College Football Picks: Upset of the Week

Steven Suarez

Thursday, October 24, 2013 2:44 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 24, 2013 2:44 PM UTC

We were successful with our first upset pick. Let's see if we can get another one right this weekend.

Odds Overview

The Sooners are favored by a touchdown at home, leaving them at -270 or so on the money-line. That's offering up a lot of value on the undefeated Red Raiders, as they can be found at +230 for our College Football Odds and the O/U is at 59 points.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

The Red Raiders have yet to lose a game this season. They've got to be feeling good after going into West Virginia and winning 37-27 last week.

Davis Webb ran the offense to perfection, finishing 36-of-50 for 462 yards and two touchdowns. The Mountaineers had no answer, as Jace Amaro and Bradley Marquez racked up 17 catches for 248 yards and two touchdowns between them.

In the running game, Kenny Williams had 16 carries for 58 yards and two scores, giving them 574 total yards of offense.

Texas Tech's offense has been clicking on all cylinders all season long and last Saturday was more proof. All in all, the Red Raiders rank sixth in total offense, thanks to a passing game that's averaging 416.4 yards per game.

What's more, Texas Tech hasn't been doing too shabby on the defensive front either. They're at #31 in total defense, with most of their good efforts coming against the run – they've allowed 123.1 YPG.

Oklahoma Sooners

It was a good response from the Sooners after a 36-20 loss to Texas on October 12th. Oklahoma went into Lawrence and finished as 34-19 victors over Kansas.

Blake Bell was 15-of-25 for 131 yards and two touchdowns, though he also threw an interception. Bell also ran 10 times for 53 yards, leaving him three yards away from being the team's leading rusher of the day.

Damien Williams recorded 15 attempts for 56 yards and a touchdown, while Sterling Shepard ruled the roost in the receiving game, catching seven passes for 82 yards and two scores.

Oklahoma's defense came up big, holding Jake Heaps to a mere 16 yards passing on 5-of-13 attempts. The Jayhawks' only success offensively came in the running game, where James Sims ran 23 times for 129 yards and two touchdowns and Darrian Miller added 67 more yards on the ground.

Overall, the defense is ranked #8, which includes an outstanding #1 ranking against the pass. They've surrendered just 149.7 yards a game through the air, while giving up 143.7 yards per matchup on the ground.


College Football Pick

This is going to be a great game, but it's hard not to like this value on a team that's proving week in and week out that they're going to be difficult to beat.

Obviously the Red Raiders haven't come up against a team as good as the Sooners, especially when it comes to stopping their amazing passing attack. Oklahoma will have a game-plan in place, but Texas Tech simply has so many playmakers that it could prove difficult no matter what.

It's going to be immensely difficult to leave Norman with a win, but Texas Tech has proven they can win on the road and they're not going to be intimidated.

At this kind of value on the money-line, it's worth investing a small amount on the Red Raiders. Good luck with all of your College Football Picks this week!

NCAAF Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders +230

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