College Football Picks: Upset Alerts in Saturday's Bettiing Card

Steven Suarez

Saturday, October 17, 2015 3:27 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 17, 2015 3:27 PM UTC

Which small underdogs have the best chances of pulling off the upsets? We've got two college football picks that may be worth considering for Saturday.

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners
First up is a key showdown between Kansas State and Oklahoma in Manhattan. At time of writing, the Sooners were favored by 4.5 points on the College Football Odds board, with the ML lines showing Kansas State as a +165 underdog.

We'll start out breakdown with the favorites. Oklahoma finally suffered their first loss of the season last weekend, losing 24-17 to Texas in a game they were favored to win. It was a poor showing offensively from Baker Mayfield and the Sooners offense, considering they had scored at least 31 points in each of their first games (all wins) of the season. Despite the loss, Oklahoma is #19 in the AP poll heading into Saturday's tricky road game at Kansas State.

The Wildcats opened their season with three consecutive wins, but have fallen victim to Oklahoma State and TCU over their last two games. They lost by just two on the road to the Cowboys in a heartbreaker and hung around with Trevone Boykin and the Horned Frogs too, only losing by a touchdown. Losing two in a row is tough, but Kansas State should at least take some comfort in knowing how competitive they were against two very good teams, particuarly in the showdown with TCU.

Looking ahead to this Saturday, we really like the Wildcats' chances of winning this one straight up at home. The Sooners were exposed last week, and it's going to be interesting to see how they respond out on the road against a similarly motivated Wildcats team. Kansas State has proven that they're not going to be walked over no matter how good the opposition, and that mentality should serve them well in this spot. We're adding the Wildcats on the moneyline and against the spread to our sports picks.

NCAA Football Pick: Kansas State Wildcats ML +165 (and +4.5 on the spread)

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LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators
Man, this is going to be a great game. We can't wait to watch it.

Both undefeated this season, Leonard Fournette and the Tigers will welcome the Gators to Baton Rouge on Saturday evening. Current college football odds have LSU favored by 6.5 points at home, with a modest total of 46 points available for the taking.

The Tigers, of course, will be leaning heavily on Fournette, who is the clear Heisman frontrunner at this point. He's already run for 1,022 yards and 12 rushing touchdowns on the year, helping LSU average a whopping 346.4 rushing yards per game, the third-best mark in the country. With Fournette running rampant and the Tigers' defense holding firm, it's been no surprise to see them go undefeated over their first five games of the season.

As for the Gators, their hot start has been a little more surprising. They've passed all the tests put in front of them so far, but this trip to LSU is going to be on another level on the difficulty chart. It doesn't help that starting QB Will Grier was suspended for the season, which leaves the offense in Treon Harris' hands. A great talent, many aren't expecting the Florida offense to skip a beat.

This is certainly not going to be a popular pick, but we've been very impressed with what we've seen out of the Gators, and we're confident in Harris' ability to make plays in the offense. Florida has been straight up dominant defensively, to boot, and they're going to have to show up with their best to slow down Heisman favorite Fournette.

All in all, we do believe there's value on the Gators here, and a straight moneyline College Football Pick isn't the craziest idea out there. 

NCAA Football Pick: Florida Gators ML +220 (and +6.5 on the spread)

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