College Football Picks: Up-Tempo Arizona St. +6 Hangs with Utah

Charles Stark

Saturday, October 17, 2015 7:05 PM GMT

The Utes welcome the Arizona St. Sun Devils in week 7, where Utah is favored by less than a touchdown. Read more to find out why im baking the road dog as my NCAAF pick tonight.

Sun Devils vs. Utes Odds
Odds makers came out with the number right around seven and since then it is moved to six. You can still get good College Football Odds at Pinnacle Sports getting the +6 at -102. For my college football pick of the day I'm going to back Arizona State at +6.

 

Arizona State Sun Devils
Offensively Arizona State averages 30.2 points per game, 430 yards per game, and have a third-down 41.86% conversion rate. With their up-tempo style and a pretty good quarterback in Mike Bercovici the Sun Devils could pose some problems against a good Utah defense. Utah did a good job last week against Cal by disguising their defenses, but with how fast Arizona State likes to play I think they will have more difficulty in trying to accomplish that. That certainly did not affect them against Oregon, but I think the Ducks are a bit overrated this year.  Arizona State likes to throw the ball a bit more than run putting the ball in the air 52.48% of the time.

Defensively Arizona State has allowed 27.2 points per game, 393.4 yards per game, and a third-down 42.35% conversion rate. Their biggest weakness is their past defense with as they have allowed 283.6 yards per game through the air. It'll be interesting to see how Utah attacks them considering that they are run first offense, and that is into the teeth of Arizona State's strength. On the year they are only allowing 109.8 rushing yards per game which ranks 18th in the country.

 

Utah Utes
Utah averages 37 points per game, 41.8 yards per game, and have a third-down 42.11% conversion rate. Utah loves to run the ball rushing 61.16% of the time which ranks 17th in all of NCAA football. They do this with some good success averaging 216.6 yards per game on the ground. This could be the guts of the game as the strength of the Utah offense matches the strength of the Arizona State defense. For Utah to win this game by more than one touchdown though quarterback Travis Wilson I think will have to have a big night.

Defensively Utah allows 19.8 points per game, 392 yards per game, and have a third-down 42.25% conversion rate. This is a balanced defense that played great against California last week picking the ball off five times. Even though that was the case last week, like Arizona State, they are best at stopping the run allowing just  133 yards per game on the ground. They are susceptible in allowing teams to move the ball through the air allowing an average of 258.8 yards per game, this possibly could spell trouble against Arizona State team that has no problem putting it up.

Check Out Arizona State vs. Utah Betting Props Market.

Final Veredict
In the last four years Arizona State has beaten Utah every game. Although it seems Utah is rolling and Arizona State will just be another victim, expect the Sun Devils to give the Utes some trouble tonight. For one of your College Football Picks I recommend backing Arizona State to hang in with Utah and possibly even pull off the upset. There is a reason why the number four team in the country is favored by less than a touchdown.

College Football Pick: Arizona State at +6 at Pinnacle

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