Troy returns home after last week’s upset of the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, while UL-Monroe heads east after pulling away as double-digit ‘chalk’ against Georgia State.
Trojans, Chunn rally as dogs
Trojans running back Jordan Chunn took in two touchdowns as part of last Saturday’s 32-26 victory over Western Kentucky, with Troy cashing as a 10 ½-point road dog. Chunn and Co. moved the chains at a 6-for-13 clip on third downs in their 24 minutes of possession, erasing a 20-10 halftime deficit.
Troy’s Corey Robinson threw for 306 yards, connecting one scoring strike to wide out Chris Williams. Trojans mates Brandon Burks and Eric Thomas notched team-highs of 52 rushing yards and 74 receiving yards, respectively.
The Trojans’ defense surrendered 532 total yards, allowing Western Kentucky to move the ball for a sizable 29 first downs. Troy was flagged for 10 penalties (104 yards), while the duel’s combined 58 points ducked UNDER the ‘total’ of 63.
Warhawks cruise at home
The same day’s action saw UL-Monroe top the Georgia State Panthers in a 38-10 affair, collecting as a 15 ½-point home favorite. Warhawks quarterback Kolton Browning tossed a season-high four touchdowns, finishing with a combined 277 yards of passing and rushing.
Browning’s backfield mate Centarius Donald broke the century mark for the first time, dashing for 126 yards on eight carries. The senior reached the end zone once, giving his side a 28-10 halftime lead.
Warhawks linebacker Hunter Kissinger logged one of his side’s three interceptions, while adding a forced fumble. UL-Monroe held Georgia State to 244 total yards, with the matchup’s 48 points dipping UNDER the college football odds total of 52.
Back the Warhawks as short dogs
Troy opened as a four-point home favorite at The Greek, with initial wagers on UL-Monroe dropping the NCAAF odds to three. The weather forecast at Veterans Memorial Stadium calls for a 73 degree evening, with calm winds and a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms.
I am adding UL-Monroe plus the points to Saturday’s sports picks, agreeing with the early ‘steam.’
UL-Monroe has a 2-1 spread record in its last three road duels, with the pair of cashed tickets coming in SU victories over Texas State and Wake Forest. The Warhawks have held foes to 12 PPG in their most recent two contests, with Isaiah Newsome leading the Sun Belt Conference with four interceptions.
Troy has had the flashier numbers of the two rivals, but has been overvalued with a 1-6-2 ATS mark in its last nine battles with conference foes. The Trojans also failed to cash in both of their spots as home ‘chalk’ of 4 ½ points or less, squeaking out close wins against Alabama-Birmingham and South Alabama.
UL-Monroe has a 5-0 spread record in its last five spots that followed victories of more than 20 points, while going 6-2 ATS in its last eight meetings with Troy. For your college football picks look for the Warhawks to collect again here, handing the Trojans another losing ticket.
NCAAF Pick: UL-Monroe Warhawks +3 at The Greek