College Football Picks: UL Lafayette vs. Western Kentucky

Ross Benjamin

Monday, October 14, 2013 2:43 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 14, 2013 2:43 PM UTC

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns travel to Bowling Green, Kentucky on Tuesday night to face the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Kick-off for this game is slated for 8:00 p.m. ET and will be televised nationally on ESPN2.

According to current college football betting odds Western Kentucky is a 4.5-point home favorite. Last season, UL-Lafayette was a 31-27 winner at home versus Western Kentucky but failed to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. The last 3 meetings between these two clubs have all gone over the total. What they have in store for our college football picks on Tuesday?

Gear up for this week's action with our College Football Picks: Week 8 Odds Report.

There’s No Place like Home”

Western Kentucky is a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS this season at home, winning by an average of 20.7 points per game. They come off a 31-10 win at UL-Monroe and covered as a 7.5-point favorite in doing so. The win marked the 3rd in a row for the Hilltoppers. The Hilltoppers also posted a pair of quality wins this year over both Navy and Kentucky. In their current 3-game win streak they’ve out-gained their opponents by a combined 644 yards. The Hilltoppers only losses this season have come at Tennessee and South Alabama. This is a well rounded team that’s nationally 29th in total offense and 30th in total defense. Western Kentucky has been kind to their backers in recent years going 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games.

Hot Rajun Cajuns

The Ragin' Cajuns enter this contest riding a 3-game win streak after opening the season with road losses at Arkansas and Kansas St. In their current win streak, they’ve averaged 51 points and 550.7 yards of total offense per game. The offense is as balanced as can be averaging 217.2 yards on the ground and 242 yards per contest in the air. Defensively there are some shortcomings, especially versus the run. Junior quarterback Terrance Broadway has been on fire over the last 2 games versus Akron and Texas St. He’s thrown for 640 yards while completing over 70% of his passes, good for 7 touchdowns, and just 1 interception. UL-Lafayette has gone over the total in their last 4 games with an average combined total score of 72.3 points per contest.

Final Analysis

This game has all the ear marks of one that will go back in forth and will be decided in the closing moments. It’s for that reason I have a small lean toward the road underdog here for my sports picks. In addition, since the start of the 2009 season, any road underdog that averages 450 yards or more per game of total offense, and in their previous game they averaged 7.25 or more yards per play is 34-7 ATS (82.9%).


NCAA FB Pick: UL Lafayette +4 on the spread over Western Kentucky, available at Bet365

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