College Football Picks: Three Potential Upsets on Saturday's Card

Ross Benjamin

Friday, September 18, 2015 9:37 PM GMT

Our college football analyst has isolated three potential upsets for your college football picks on Saturday’s card. Go inside to read what games those are, and why he likes these underdogs' chances in each of those contests.

Memphis vs. Bowling Green 3:00 PM ET
Memphis opened the season by crushing Missouri State and Kansas. BGU on the other hand comes off a pair of stern road tests at Tennessee and Maryland. The Falcons came away with a split in those pair of away tilts. Last Saturday they overwhelmed Maryland 48-27 in College Park, and the final score in their 59-30 loss to Tennessee was very deceiving, since they were outgained by just 47 total yards. BGU senior quarterback Matt Johnson has been terrific in the first two games, passing for a robust 915 yards and 8 touchdowns against some formidable competition. The Falcons have gone a perfect 11-0 since 2012 following a win by 21 points or more, and covered ten of those eleven. I like the home underdog for one of my college football picks on Saturday.

College Football Pick: Bowling Green +3 over Memphis at BetOnline

 

Northwestern vs. Duke 12:30 PM ET
Northwestern began the season with an impressive 16-6 win as a 10.0 point home underdog over then nationally ranked Stanford. Besides the final score, the most surprising aspect of that win was how the Wildcats physically dominated Stanford. Basically, they beat the Cardinal at their own game. They put together a workmanlike effort last week during a 41-0 home win over Eastern Illinois, and easily covered as a 24.0 point favorite. Pat Fitzgerald has seen his defense play superbly thus far.

Duke comes off resounding wins over less than imposing competition, winning at Tulane 37-7, and they crushed North Carolina Central 55-0 in their home opener last Saturday.

This has all the signs of a tightly contested game, and it may come down to ball security. Northwestern is a +3.0 turnover differential while Duke is -1 thus far in 2015. The confidence that Northwestern gained in their win over Stanford will pay dividends on the road.

College Football Pick: Northwestern +3.5 (-110) at Heritage

 

Georgia Tech vs. Notre Dame 3:30 PM ET
Malik Zaire isn’t the only one that suffered a broken ankle last week. There were numerous others that suffered the same fate after jumping off the Notre Dame bandwagon. The Irish opened as a 1.5 point favorite in this game, and have since moved to a 3.0 point underdog according to the college football odds at Bovada. Granted that Georgia Tech overwhelmed their first two opponents, but they’ll be taking a significant jump up in class this week. Notre Dame’s veteran defense will be out to atone from a sloppy performance at Virginia last Saturday. They’ll be up to the task, and so will talented redshirt freshman quarterback Deshone Kizer who takes over for Zaire.

College Football Pick: Notre Dame +2.5 over Georgia Tech at bet365