A large share of underachievers in college football futures odds may be cornered by teams from Texas which could leave the Big 12 out of the playoffs once again.
Teams destined to disappointment on the college football futures odds this year are easier to pick than teams that could surprise and shock their way into National or Conference Championship contention. Being a bit of a masochist, they're also more gratifying in so many different ways, but I won't go into that.
Two teams that could easily disappoint -- potentially shifting a big chunk of the recruiting advantage to Lone Star State rivals Baylor and TCU -- are the Texas A&M Aggies and Texas Longhorns. It's not hard to imagine one or both teams missing the bowl season since we're talking about Longhorns and Aggies with 6½-7½ win totals, respectively, on that portion of the College football odds, so all it takes is a slip or two by both teams to not qualify for even a lower-tier bowl much less taking part in the New Year's 6.
Suggested slip-ups are very easy to forecast since both teams reside in the Big 12 and Southeastern Conferences, lest we forget. Strength of schedules say Texas A&M's schedule ranks right up there with the toughest, a good reason why they're a 20/1 long shot to win the SEC. The Aggies have to at least split the home matchups against Alabama and Auburn to have any realistic chance, plus win both neutral-site affairs against Arizona State and Arkansas to be in the picture at all.
Yeah, you bet, I'm a proud Aggie, so Gig 'Em and let's hope I'm wrong! A bet of a half-bit is all I'm putting on my Ags to win the SEC for sentimental reasons, fully expecting them to disappoint.
'Horns Also In Similar Position
I was very tempted to shift Texas into my list of teams that could shock this year, just because I think Charlie Strong was one of the best decisions this university made since replacing Darrell Royal. You've got to remember with all of my college football betting advice that I am from a mixed family -- mostly Longhorns, a few of us Aggies plus plenty of well-intended sympathy from our Longhorn brethren.
Texas is a team I like from week to week on the college football spreads, thinking 8-4 that direction on the 2015 regular season slate. Still, I'm seeing a 6-6 mark in the straight-up columns, leaving win total bettors with coin flip, at best, for an 'over' winner. The 'Horns Have to win two out of three against Baylor, Texas Christian and Oklahoma to have a chance to represent the Big 12 in the College Football Playoff; none of those clashes are in Austin.
Can Horned Frogs Live Up To Expectations?
This could be a season to remember for Texas Christian, or a huge disappointment for the Horned Frogs. Gary Patterson's squad is sitting No. 2 on the preseason coaches poll, trailing only Ohio State, and that means anything less than a Big 12 title and invite to the College Football Playoff will be frustrating for Frogs fans and anyone holding a ticket for TCU to go all the way, those college football futures currently sitting at +750 or thereabouts.
Oh, don't get me wrong, Patterson will put a very good team out on the field this year...and one that will be tested from the get-go with a season opener on the road against a pretty good Minnesota squad. From there on it's pretty smooth sailing until the very end of the slate when the Horned Frogs have to go to Norman before closing at home against Baylor. It's not far-fetched to imagine TCU having two losses by the time the CFP selection committee gets together to make its picks, and that won't cut it as far as a chance at the school's first National Championship since 1938.
Southern Cal Over-Hyped, Spartans In For Fall In Big Ten
There are a lot of expectations surrounding the USC Trojans this year, their second under head coach Steve Sarkisian. There are good reasons for those expectations following a 9-4 season in 2014, but I'm not buying into them with my College Football picks, at least on a national level where the Trojans are 15/1 picks. Look for a 9-3 record at best following the regular season slate.
Last but not least, this should be a tough season on anyone in the Big Ten not named Ohio State. That could be especially true for a Michigan State bunch that has become accustomed to contending for the conference crown. A tough league slate that includes road games at Nebraska, Michigan and Ohio State should leave the Spartans out of the running this time.