College Football Picks: Texas vs. Baylor

Tuesday, December 3, 2013 1:35 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2013 1:35 PM UTC

The Texas Longhorns and Baylor Bears are set to do battle in a Big 12 interstate battle this weekend. Both teams are looking for a share of the conference title as well as a possible BCS bid. Let's see what the college football odds say about these two potential college football picks.
<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!-- br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;} --></style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;color:#000000;text-align:left"></span></p> <p>A lot of intensity for Saturday's gridiron battle between the Texas Longhorns and Baylor Bears could go out the window just before the kickoff. Though both the Bears and Longhorns are guaranteed a share of the Big 12 title with a win, it still won't mean a chance at a BCS Bowl invite unless the Oklahoma State Cowboys lose at home to the Oklahoma Sooners.</p> <p><span style="font-size:1em"><a target="_blank" title="Read our preview and picks for this game" href="/college-football/free-picks/college-football-picks-oklahoma-vs-oklahoma-state-a-35470/">The Cowboys and Sooners</a> are slated to get underway at noon, and if OU can pull off the outright upset, the Longhorns and Bears will be playing for that coveted BCS trip.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">Backing Baylor will mean laying nearly two touchdowns.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The earliest line available on SBR's <a target="_blank" title="Live college football odds" href="/betting-odds/college-football/">live college football odds</a> had the Bears -14, with that spread dropping a half since then.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">A total should be available later Tuesday afternoon.</span></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">Winner &amp; Loser Could Stay Home For The Holidays</b></p> <img src="/picks-pictures/longlonghorns.jpg" class="imgSelectedPicture article-image" alt="Image preview" id="ctl00_head_ArticleAdministrator_picturePreview_imgSelectedPicture" style="font-size:1em" /> <p>If the expected happens in <st1:place><st1:city>Stillwater</st1:city>, <st1:state>Oklahoma</st1:state></st1:place> State will sail into the automatic BCS bid extended to the Big 12. It's possible, though not probable, that Baylor could get an at-large spot with a convincing win over the Longhorns, but that's a stretch.</p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">The way Big 12 bowl tie-ins go, the outcome of this game just might decide who goes to the Cotton Bowl and who goes to the Alamo Bowl.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Both are decent payouts, and will draw big crowds in </span><st1:city style="font-size:1em">Arlington</st1:city><span style="font-size:1em"> and </span><st1:city style="font-size:1em">San Antonio</st1:city><span style="font-size:1em"> respectively, but hardly the bowl trip players from both teams were hoping to take.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">Baylor (10-1 straight up, 8-3 against the spread) is coming off a narrow win at TCU last week, the effort following up on the Bears' lone loss of the season at </span><st1:place style="font-size:1em"><st1:placename>Okie</st1:placename> <st1:placetype>State</st1:placetype></st1:place><span style="font-size:1em"> seven days earlier.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The Bears needed two Pick 6's to get past the Horned Frogs, 41-38, falling well short of the 13.5 they were laying in <st1:place><st1:placetype>Ft.</st1:placetype> <st1:placename>Worth</st1:placename></st1:place>.</span></p> <p><st1:state style="font-size:1em">Texas</st1:state><span style="font-size:1em"> (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS) also just rebounded from a loss to </span><st1:place style="font-size:1em"><st1:placename>Oklahoma</st1:placename> <st1:placetype>State</st1:placetype></st1:place><span style="font-size:1em">, taking down Texas Tech on Thanksgiving Night.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The Longhorns rushed for more than 280 yards in the 41-16 victory, easily covering a 5.5 point line <a target="_blank" title="Check out SBR's free sportsbook reviews" href="">set by sportsbooks</a>, and marking the fourth 'under' in their last five.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">[gameodds]6/251560/?r3=43-19-349/dec&amp;r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]<br /></span></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">Injury Concerns on Both Sides</b></p> <p><img style="font-size:1em" src="/picks-pictures/bearsofbaylor.jpg" class="imgSelectedPicture article-image" alt="Image preview" id="ctl00_head_ArticleAdministrator_picturePreview_imgSelectedPicture" />The 'Horns and Bears each have some injury concerns for this tilt. <st1:state>Texas</st1:state> could be very thin at linebacker with Kendall Thompson (concussion) questionable and Steve Edmond expected to miss the game.</p> <p><st1:state style="font-size:1em">Texas</st1:state><span style="font-size:1em"> is also listing starting offensive tackle Josh Cochran as questionable with a shoulder injury, while backup tailback Daje Johnson will sit this one out due to a suspension.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">On the Baylor side, the defense might be without middle linebacker Bryce Hager due to a groin injury.</span><span style="font-size:1em">The Bears are still minus wide receiver Tevin Reese (wrist), whose absence he last four games as Bryce Petty's primary deep threat has been felt on offense.</span></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">Series History, Mother Nature &amp; A Free Pick</b></p> <p><st1:state>Texas</st1:state> was 9.5 point chalk a year ago when the 'Horns and Bears hooked up in a classic in <st1:city>Austin</st1:city>. A 56-50 win gave <st1:place>Texas</st1:place> a 74-24-4 all-time record vs. Baylor, the 13th clash in the last 15 that went to the Longhorns. Four of the last five, and seven of the last nine, went 'over.'</p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">After beginning the week under sun and temps in the mid-to-upper 70s, it's going to be downright chilly Saturday afternoon in </span><st1:place style="font-size:1em">Waco</st1:place><span style="font-size:1em">.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The kickoff should come around the warmest point of the day (36ºF), with cloudy skies and a brisk 12-15 mph north wind.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">College football bettors will want to keep a watch on any lingering rain in the area, which is presently forecast to clear out by Friday evening.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">I truly thought a Baylor victory in this one might throw the Big 12 into a three-way tie when we discussed </span><a target="_blank" title="Check out our picks for potential Big 12 upsets" style="font-size:1em" href="/college-football/free-picks/college-football-betting-big-12-conference-potential-upsets-a-32698/">potential upset spots and key conference games</a><span style="font-size:1em"> before the season started.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">A lot of the early emotions will be dictated by whatever happens in the OU/OSU matchup, making the first couple of possessions immensely important.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Once again, my free <a target="_blank" title="Free college football picks for all this weeks action" href="/college-football/">college football pick</a> will be on the Big 12 road 'dog.</span></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">My pick:</b><span style="font-size:1em"> </span><st1:state style="font-size:1em"><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:state><span style="font-size:1em"> +13.5 at Bet365</span></p>
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