College Football Picks: Texas Tech vs. West Virginia

Jeff Grant

Friday, October 18, 2013 2:21 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 18, 2013 2:21 PM GMT

The head coaching matchup will take center stage Saturday in Morgantown, as the Texas Tech Red Raiders and West Virginia Mountaineers face off in Week 8.

A good start

Texas Tech is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS under first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury—winning the statistical battle in four of those six contests by at least 245 yards.  

The Red raiders will be leaving the state of Texas for just the second time during the 2013 campaign—playing on the East Coast for a regular season game for the first time since 2003.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 6-0 SUATS as road favorites, with the OVER going 5-1 in that situation.

Alternating pattern

West Virginia has alternated wins and losses over its first six contests, as it comes off a bye week after suffering a 73-42 defeat to the Baylor Bears as 30-point betting odds underdogs on Oct. 5.

College football handicappers were expecting an inconsistent season for the Mountaineers, considering they lost numerous players to the NFL, including wide receiver Tavon Austin and quarterback Geno Smith.

In their last 54 home games, the Mountaineers have had just two losses that have come by more than five points, which offers the home underdog value at any number above that level.

A close relationship

Kingsbury has stated that he’d never be in his current position without the help of Mountaineers head coach Dana Holgorsen, as the two spent considerable time with each other as members of the Houston Cougars coaching staff.

Holgorsen has already tallied a 30-21 upset victory over the Oklahoma State Cowboys as 19.5-point home underdogs Sept. 28—a program that he previously worked for as an offensive coordinator.

Expect an all-out effort from the host in this affair.

[gameodds]6/247133/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Mountaineers fro their college football picks, as the Red Raiders are certainly in a look-ahead spot with the Oklahoma Sooners and Cowboys on deck.

Texas Tech may win the game outright, but will move to 2-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival since 2011.

College Football Pick: West Virginia +5.5

comment here