College Football Picks: Tennessee vs. Alabama

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 22, 2013 3:31 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2013 3:31 PM UTC

The Tennessee Volunteers travel to Tuscaloosa, Alabama on Saturday to take on the top ranked Crimson Tide. Check out what our favorite college football betting option is for this weekend's matchup.

According to current college football odds Alabama is a 28.0-point home favorite. Alabama has won the last 6 meetings between these two teams including covering in 5 of those 6-games.

Trying to return to Prominence

The head coach of the Tennessee Volunteers Butch Jones has done a great job in his first year in Knoxville with all things considered. Jones inherited a program that was in a sharp decline after enduring 3 consecutive losing seasons. The Volunteers come off a confidence boosting upset win at home upsetting nationally ranked South Carolina 23-21. Michael Pallardy’s field goal as time expired won the game for the underdog Volunteers. In the game prior they lost an absolute heartbreaker as a 13.5-point underdog to Georgia 34-31 in overtime. Georgia tied the game with just 0:05 to go in regulation on a 4th down touchdown pass by Aaron Murray.

A major area of concern so far is their lack of a passing game. They’re 111th in the country at just 166.3 yards per game through the air. Tennessee has lost 10 road games in a row including both this season at Oregon and Florida. On a positive note the Volunteers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a conference road underdog of 13.0 or more.

Roll Tide Roll

What more can be possibly said about the recent history of the Alabama football program. The Tide has gone 67-7 over their last 74-games including a remarkable 45-29 ATS (60.8%) in those contests. Since the start of the 2008 season Alabama is 37-3 at home. Entering this week Alabama is #1 in the nation in scoring defense allowing a mere 9.7 points per game. They’ve outscored their opponents by 30.0 points per game during its 7-0 start. Quarterback A.J. McCarron continues to be a rock at quarterback completing 69.2% of his pass attempts for 14 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions. The senior signal caller has been the starter for the Crimson Tide’s last 2 national championship seasons.


Final Analysis

Although the Volunteers have shown great progress under Butch Jones they still need to show they can be competitive on the road. Despite the fact that Nick Saban doesn’t like to run up the score after establishing a big lead, this line still isn’t big enough in my opinion for that to even enter the equation. Tennessee will come back down to earth this Saturday, therefore I advice the readers choose Tuscaloosa for their College Football Picks.

Free Pick: Alabama -28.0 over Tennessee.

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