College Football Picks: TCU vs. Texas Tech

Jeff Grant

Monday, September 9, 2013 2:12 PM GMT

Monday, Sep. 9, 2013 2:12 PM GMT

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are off to a fast start under their new head coach, but they’ll likely suffer their first defeat against the TCU Horned Frogs Thursday. Which college football betting option appears to offer us the best shot of cashing in?


Let’s take a closer look at the College Football odds for this Big 12 Conference matchup at Jones AT&T Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 3.

Man down 

TCU is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS this season, as it comes off a 38-17 victory over Southeastern Louisiana as 40-point home favorites last Saturday, but the program lost a key player in the process.

Horned Frogs starting quarterback Casey Pachall is likely out at least eight weeks with a shoulder injury, but backup Trevone Boykin filled that role in nine games during the 2012 campaign.

College football handicappers will find that the Horned Frogs are 2-4 ATS as road favorites of three points or less since 2011, with the UNDER cashing in four of those six opportunities.

Impressive start 

Kliff Kingsbury is the youngest coach among BCS teams, but it hasn’t mattered in the early going, with Texas Tech posting a 2-0 SUATS record through two contests.

The Red Raiders are coming off a 61-13 blowout victory over Stephen F. Austin as 34.5-point home favorites, with the offense generating an incredible 731 yards of offense.

In its last six opportunities as a home underdog of three points or less, the program has covered the number in four of those affairs. 

Best record in the Lone Star State

It may surprise a lot of people, but TCU has the best record amongst Texas schools since 2005, as it has compiled a 85-20 record over that span.

Putting that mark in perspective—the Texas Longhorns are second on that list in going 81-25 over that span.

A thriller in 2012

The Red Raiders picked up a thrilling 56-53 overtime victory over the Horned Frogs as 2.5-point road underdogs last season, but it’s important to point out that they lost the statistical battle by a 516-389 margin.

Texas Tech is 12-5 all-time in Big 12 home openers, but will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak in that situation.

[gameodds]6/238991/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Horned Frogs with their college football picks, as they’ve won 47 straight games when outrushing an opponent.

College Football Pick:  TCU Horned Frogs -3

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