College Football Picks: Take San Diego State -6.5 in Favorable Matchup vs. Air Force

Joe Catalano

Friday, December 4, 2015 11:20 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 4, 2015 11:20 PM GMT

San Diego State is on fire, winning 8 straight games and they seek a 9th consecutive victory as they face another strong squad in the conference in Air Force. There's certainly bowl game implications and this game carries a lot of weight. See who we like in this top-rated matchup as our college football pick.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. EST on Saturday, November 5th at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. This game can be viewed on ESPN 2. According to 5Dimes, the Aztecs are a 6.5 point betting favorite and the total for the game is listed at 50 points on the college football odds board. San Diego State is on a major run and the fact that they're playing at home provides them with an extra advantage. Let's take a look.

 

San Diego State Defense = Wins
The Aztecs can certainly put up the points, averaging over 30 points while possessing a well-balanced offense, but it's their defense that wins games as they allow a mere 16.6 points to opposing offenses while holding the opposition to under 100 yards rushing per game.

Most of the time, a team with a good defense, unless they're on the level of Alabama, has an equally weak offense, but that's not the case with San Diego State and that's why they've been belting out the wins. This week, they face an Air Force Falcons team who are also solid defensively and are putting up nearly 500 yards of offense to go along with 34.6 points per game. Point being; this will be no cakewalk for the Aztecs and the betting odds indicate this as they're a 6.5 to 7 point favorite at home.

 

Donnel Pumphrey
This is the one name that you need to know where the Aztecs are concerned as he accounts for 1800 all-purpose yards to go along with 18 TD's. This is an unstoppable runner and with the help of the Aztecs offensive line, has been able to break through some major holes, enabling the Aztecs to get the upperhand on opposing defenses. When Pumphrey is hot, the Aztecs win as he's had 8 consecutive games of 100 yards rushing or more to go along with 13 rushing touchdowns. 

 

Game Plan
It's quite simple for the San Diego State offense in order to win the Sports Authority Mountain West Championship Game. Use Pumphrey as much as possible as he can also catch passes out of the backfield and on the rare 3rd down. have quarterback, Maxwell Smith, look for the open man as Smith has been a very efficient passer with 13 TD and just 2 picks this season. The defense should take care of the rest as the Aztecs seek the Championship and their 9th straight victory.

 

Tough Matchup For the Falcons
Air Force doesn't have one definitive superstar as their quarterback, Karson Roberts, is mistake prone and very unreliable, but they have a ton of options on offense when everything is clicking.

Look for runner, Jacobi Owens to get a brunt of the work as he's rushed for 853 yards and 6 TD's this season. The Falcons will still incorporate the passing game into the offense, but Roberts can't be trusted against one of the better defenses in the country in the Aztecs. This appears to be a poor matchup for Air Force and I look for San Diego State to win by double figures as one of my college football picks.

College Football Picks: San Diego State Aztecs -6.5 at 5Dimes

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