College Football Picks: Take Georgia Southern -16 to Steamroll Idaho Saturday Night

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, September 22, 2015 6:18 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 22, 2015 6:18 PM UTC

For our NCAAF blowout game of the week, we will preview the betting odds for Georgia Southern vs. Idaho Saturday game. The Pain will be gone by half time with this winning college football pick!

Georgia Southern (-16) vs. Idaho 9:00 PM EST
Georgia Southern visits Idaho for the Sun Belt opener for both teams. And I’m still trying to figure out how Idaho gained admittance to the Sun Belt Conference. Last year, these teams met in Statesboro and the Host Eagles steamrolled Idaho by a score of 47-24. In so doing, they rushed and passed for 200 yards (a 200 Club winner) and outrushed Idaho 349-94, an easy double rusher. Now, the venue switches to Moscow, Idaho where one might believe the Vandals would have a climate advantage. Such is not the case, however, as Idaho plays their home games on an indoor surface, the Kibbie Dome. It really isn’t much of an advantage, considering that Idaho is 45-18 SU on this field L4+Y, and a long term 11-19 ATS as home underdog on this field.  For that reason, as well as the ones described below, Georgia Southern is my College Football Pick as the “CFB Blowout of the Week.”

Under third year HC Petrino, the Vandals continue to rebuild. Petrino tried to go the JUCO route last year, but it resulted in a 1-10 SU season. That means the Vandals, entering this season, were on a four year slide of 5-42 SU, 14-30 ATS. Mysteriously, Petrino went out and recruited yet another JUCO laden class in 2015. They are hanging their fortunes on the right arm of QB Linehan. To the surprise of few, the season has not started well for the Vandals. Linehan is putting up some passing yardage at 286 PYPG, but the ground game is virtually nonexistent, and the defense is a sieve allowing 47 PPG, and an incredible 8.7 YP play. Teams are running AND passing for at least 270 YPG against this defense. That may have been excusable against USC, but in the role of home dog in week 1, they failed miserably vs Ohio, losing 45-28. Last week was a true aberration. Idaho won a football game! They beat Wofford 41-38, with Linehan passing for 334 yards. But they also allowed the Terriers to run 44 times for 326 yards. Therein lies the problem for this game.

In week 1, I used Georgia Southern and their top rated running game from last season (383 YPG) against WVU. Reserved QB Upshaw was at the helm, as veteran signal caller Ellison was serving a two game suspension to begin the year. Upshaw was dreadful, completing twice as many passes to the Mountaineers as to his own teammates. Last Saturday, Ellison was back at the controls as they hosted The Citadel. In fine form, Ellison not only led the Eagles to 383 yards overland, but balanced the attack by completing 10 of 17 passes.

College Football Pick
It doesn’t take much to extrapolate this outcome. The College Football Odds are clearly in our favor.  Georgia Southern controls the ball on the ground the entire evening, keeps the ball out of Idaho QB Linehan’s hands, and steamrolls the Vandals in a 4 TD victory.

Free College Football Pick: Georgia Southern -16 at 5Dimes.

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