College Football Picks: Take Explosive Baylor -20.5 vs. Hapless Texas

Ross Benjamin

Friday, December 4, 2015 10:38 PM GMT

Our handicapping professional breaks down Saturday’s game between Texas and Baylor. Join us in reading this revealing betting preview article that concludes with his college football pick.

Big 12 Finale between Longhorns and Bears
The Baylor Bears (9-2) and Texas Longhorns (4-7) will square off on Saturday in what will be the final regular season game for both teams. The opening kickoff at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas is slated for Noon ET. Current (12-4) college football odds show that Baylor is a 20.5 point favorite, and the posted total is 67.5. Baylor has defeated Texas in each of the past two seasons, and won those contests by a cumulative score of 58-17.

 

Road Pushovers
Texas has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in true road games this season, and lost those contests by an average of 30.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, the Longhorns scored only a combined 30 points (7.5 PPG) in those four contests. One of the major areas of concerns for Texas in this matchup is their run defense. The Longhorns are allowing an average of 203.2 yards per game this season. That’s not good news at all for Texas, considering they’ll be facing a Baylor offense that averages 291.5 yards rushing per game. The Longhorns are coming off a 48-45 home loss to Texas Tech last week. The Red Raiders torched Texas for a massive 665 yards of total offense. They’ll be facing a Baylor offense on Saturday which is currently #1 nationally in total offense at 616.0 yards per game.

 

On the Rebound
Baylor comes off a disheartening 28-21 overtime loss at TCU last week. The defeat all but eliminated them from national title contention. After getting off to a terrific 8-0 start, Baylor has now dropped two of their last three games. On the bright side, Baylor has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous four games following a loss, and won by an average of 27.8 points per contest.

 

Final Thoughts and Pick
Texas has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their previous five games as an away underdog, and lost by 27.7 points per contest. Baylor is 16-3 ATS during the previous nineteen as a home favorite of 7.0 to 33.0. I’m going to lay the big number for one of my college football picks on Saturday.

College Football Picks: Play on Baylor -20.5 at BetCRIS

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