College Football Picks: Stats & Facts to Play with Oregon -17 over Washington State

Ross Benjamin

Friday, October 9, 2015 7:14 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 9, 2015 7:14 PM GMT

Our handicapping professional examines Saturday’s game between Washington State and Oregon. Join us in reading this compelling betting preview that concludes with a college football pick.

Cougars look to spring Upset of Ducks
Oregon will host Washington in a PAC-12 battle on Saturday. The opening kickoff at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon is slated for 6:00 PM ET. Current (10/9) college football odds indicate that Oregon is a 17.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 71.0. Oregon has defeated Washington State in their last seven meetings. However, the Ducks have failed to cover in each of the last five, and that includes a narrow 38-31 win as a 21.5 point favorite last season.

 

Pass Happy Attack
Washington State (2-2) has averaged 74 offensive plays per game this season, and 68.9% of those were passing attempts. As a matter of fact, 84.2% of their total yards on offense have come via the passing game. Starting quarterback Luke Falk has been outstanding, completing 72.6% of his passing attempts for 1459 yards and 10 touchdowns. Falk has been intercepted just twice in 201 pass attempts, and that’s less than 1% of the time.

 

Nice Rebound Win
After being humiliating in a 62-20 home loss against Utah two weeks ago, Oregon bounced back with a convincing 41-24 win at Colorado last Saturday, and easily covered as a 6.5 point favorite. The Oregon diverse running game was in high gear during that win, evidenced by 361 yards rushing, and a tad better than 6 yards per carry. Contrary to Saturday’s opponent (Washington State), 63.8% of Oregon’s offensive plays are runs, and 56.8% of their total yards on offense have come on the ground.

 

College Football Betting Angle
Since 2002, any home favorite of 13.5 to 35.0, coming off an away favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off an away loss in which they covered as an underdog, and allowed 28 points or more in that defeat, resulted in the home favorite going 13-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory in those contests was 35.9 points per game. I’m going to following this betting system when making my college football picks on Saturday.

College Football Pick: Oregon -17 at Bookmaker

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