Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this Pac-12 Conference matchup at Reser Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Life after Kiffin
USC has alternated wins and losses in its three games since the midseason firing of head coach Lane Kiffin, which includes a 19-3 victory over the Utah Utes as five-point home favorites last Saturday.
The Trojans have won the statistical battle in their last three contests, while the UNDER is 2-1 in that span.
Oregon State had its six-game winning streak snapped in suffering a 20-12 defeat to the Stanford Cardinal as four-point home underdogs last Saturday, but the program did manage to win the statistical battle for a fifth consecutive contest.
The Beavers were held under 30 points for the first time during the 2013 campaign, while they allowed the Cardinal to gain 185 rushing yards—the highest amount they’ve given up on the year.
College football handicappers may have a hard time backing the road underdog in this spot, considering the Trojans will be playing just their third Friday game since 1999, while having only 58 recruited scholarship players available against the Utes in Week 9.
USC is also 0-3 ATS on the road this season, with the UNDER going 2-1 in those three affairs.
It’s no secret that the Beavers are going to try and attack the Trojans through the air offensively, as quarterback Sean Mannion leads the country in passing yards and touchdowns.
Oregon State’s last five wins in this series have come at home, including the last three in the Pacific Northwest.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Trojans for their college football picks, as I established the Beavers as 3.5-point home favorites in this matchup.
The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six overall meetings in this series, and I’m not sure the last time USC has received points against Oregon State.
College Football Pick: USC Trojans +5.5