College Football Picks: Side With Oregon to Get Back on Track vs. Washington

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, October 14, 2015 12:19 AM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2015 12:19 AM GMT

The Ducks have been one of the biggest disappointments in college football this season. They find themselves as underdogs on the college football odds board for this weekend's matchup with Washington.

Odds Overview
Gone are the days when Oregon would be favored by multiple touchdowns regardless of who they were playing and where the game was taking place. This is not the same Ducks team, and they're simply not as good.

That's why we see Oregon listed as the underdog (+2) on the college football odds board for this Saturday's game at Washington. The total is currently trading at 58.5 points

 

Washington Huskies
The Huskies' 3-2 record may not scream dominance, but we need to delve deeper into their strength of schedule and overall performances to get a better feel. Washington opened the season with a tough 16-13 road loss to Boise State, but then picked up two straight wins before losing to California at home 30-24.

This past weekend, though, the Huskies bounced back in a major way, topping USC 17-12 on the road. Following the loss, Steve Sarkisian was fired as the Trojans' head coach, which has to be a great (and perhaps bittersweet) feeling for the Washington program, considering he was previously the coach of the Huskies from 2009 through 2013 before leaving for "greener pastures" in sunny California. Talk about redemption, and irony. 

With QB Jake Browning unable to consistently get Washington into the end zone, it's primarily been the defense that's been doing the heavy lifting for the program this season. Despite playing some tough competition, the Huskies have only allowed 15.0 points per game, the 14th-best mark in all of college football. One thing's for certain: Washington's going to have to be at their very best defensively to come to terms with the athletic Ducks this weekend.

 

Oregon Ducks
Consistency has not been the name of the game for the Ducks, who have yet to put together consecutive winning efforts in 2015. They're 3-3 on the season heading into the weekend, with victories over Eastern Washington, Georgia State and Colorado and losses to Michigan State, Utah and Washington State.

Last weekend was gut-wrenching for the Ducks, as they lost in double overtime to the Cougars, at home no less. Despite a huge performance from running back Royce Freeman, who had 27 carries for 246 yards and two touchdowns, Oregon was poor defensively and just couldn't make the necessary plays when it mattered most. Jeff Lockie was largely ineffective in place of the injured Vernon Adams, as he was 13-of-22 for 123 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.

Having already missed three games, Oregon really needs Adams (broken finger) back as soon as possible, and it looks like there's a legitimate shot he'll be back in the mix this Saturday. That's great news, considering he's a much better quarterback than Lockie and company and gives the Ducks their best chance of winning.

 

Betting Analysis
Everyone is down on the Ducks right now, and for good reason. The Ducks were expected to fare much better than they have so far, and it's weird to see them have as many losses as they have wins through six games.

With the generall public feeling so low on Oregon, now seems like a prime opportunity to jump on the softer lines, as these Ducks are still a mega-talented bunch. They haven't played their best football yet, but we're not expecting these types of struggles to continue going forward, perhaps starting with this weekend.

The absence of Adams at quarterback has very clearly had a significant impact on Oregon, but we're liking the chances of him taking the field this Saturday. If that's the case, we're going to be on the Ducks to get back on track with a win, which obviously means we like them at +2 for our college football picks even more.

College Football Pick: Oregon Ducks +2 at Bovada

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