College Football Picks: Side With Army +12.5 vs. Duke

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, October 6, 2015 7:38 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2015 7:38 PM UTC

The Duke Blue Devils visit the Army Black Knights. Go inside to find out why this is our Sandwich Game of the Week as we offer our college football pick.

Duke (-12) vs. Army - Saturday, October 10, Noon ET CBC TV
Duke travels to face the Black Knights of the Hudson, when they meet the Army Cadets at Noon on Saturday as televised by CBC TV. This is a tough scheduling spot for Duke, while Army returns from their meeting at Penn State last week. 

The Duke Blue Devils continue their resurgence under 8th year HC Cutcliffe.  The last 2 seasons the Blue Devils amassed a record of 19-8 SU, 18-7 ATS.  That included narrow Bowl losses to powerful Texas A&M (52-48) in 2013 and (36-31) to Arizona State last year.  This year, with only 12 RS, Duke is off to a solid 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS start, covering the number by 44 points.  The only loss is at home to undefeated Northwestern in a hard fought contest.  In the last 2 weeks, they have defeated GA Tech and Boston College at home.  It was a physical, hard fought game last week against Boston College with Duke being outrushed 164-33 and outgained 305-28 in the 9-7 home victory.  That gives Duke a 2-0 SU start in ACC Play.  Now, they must make a trip to the northeast, before returning south to face the remainder of the 6-game ACC slate.  It is a clear sandwich spot for Duke.  The Blue Devils have an ever-improving defense that allows just 11 PPG on 270 YPG and 3.9 YPR.  That includes 123/3.0 overland in what would appear to be ideal in stopping the Army triple option.  When Duke faced GA Tech, they allowed the Yellow Jackets 173 RY. 

Army was competitive in their game at Penn St. last week.  In the 20-14 loss, as 24 point road dog, Army outrushed Penn State 261-108 and outgained them 293-264.  Army QB Bradshaw missed that contest (ankle), but he should be returning for this contest with Duke. Under 2nd year HC Monken, the Army program is slowly building.  As they enter today’s game, they have logged 4 consecutive covers in losses of 5 to UConn, 3 to Wake, 6 to Penn State and a 58-36 win vs. E. Michigan.  In addition, this has been a good spot for Army, who is 4-1 ATS as a home dog vs. Power 5 teams.  Many of those have in situations just as this, where the superior road favorite from the stronger conference is sandwiched between higher profile league games.  Army is again prolific overland, averaging 288/5.6 on the ground.  They will be able to control the ball, as well as score some points.  One of the surprising areas of improvement is an Army defense allowing just 26 points and 391 yards, which compares favorably to the 33/431 defense of last year. 

With the line rising to nearly 2 full TDs, the college football odds are clearly in our favor, as we side with Army/West Point in our college football pick as the Sandwich Game of the Week.

College Football Picks: Army +12.5 at Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2823337, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here