College Football Picks: Saturday's Top Three Bets Against the Spread

David Lawrence

Thursday, September 17, 2015 12:28 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 17, 2015 12:28 PM UTC

The college football season forges ahead, with teams in various circumstances trying to take big steps toward the central goals they have for themselves. What you see below on Saturday’s card are three crucial games for certain programs. The first one is a matchup of two teams trying to get a New Year’s Six bowl invitation from the so-called “Group of Five.” The second and third matchups are immensely important for one of the teams and moderately important for the others.

Memphis Tigers vs. Bowling Green Falcons
This is a game in which the winner goes to the forefront of the race for a January bowl bid. Either Memphis will join Temple and Houston atop the American Athletic Conference and its fight to be the top-ranked team in the league at the end of the season, or Bowling Green will join Toledo atop the MAC and its pursuit of a January bowl. These two teams have extremely exciting and potent offenses, so the big game key will be the ability of the two defenses to limit huge plays (of 30 yards or more), thereby forcing opponents to take snaps in the red zone. When in the red zone, the offenses will try to finish drives, but the defense which can force more field goals is likely to win what promises to be an old-fashioned shootout.

Memphis won its most recent shootout, a wild game against BYU in last December’s Miami Beach Bowl. Bowling Green is coming off a good win at Maryland, but Memphis is a lot better than Maryland. In what should be a very fun game to watch, Memphis has the better athletes. Back the Tigers with your College Football Picks here.

College Football Pick: Memphis -3 at Bookmaker

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Rams
The fact that College Football Betting Odds have Colorado being installed as the favorite here is really surprising. Colorado lost on the islands to Hawaii a few weeks ago. The Buffaloes played just about as horribly as they could play. They embarrassed themselves, and while some bettors will understandably look at that and say that Colorado will be angry in this game, fired up to play, it’s also true that the Buffaloes just aren’t as advanced as a lot of people thought they were before the season started. Colorado State played Minnesota – a good team which lost to No. 2 TCU by only six points on Sept. 3 – to a stalemate in regulation before falling just short in overtime. That’s a lot better than what Colorado has done to date. Take Colorado State here.

College Football Pick: Colorado State +3.5 -112 at Pinnacle

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Indiana Hoosiers
It’s true that Indiana is 2-0, but the Hoosiers have not looked very good in either of their first two games. Western Kentucky didn’t look good in its first game, but the Hilltoppers were a lot more powerful and productive on offense in their win over Louisiana Tech last week. Western Kentucky has more momentum and a better quarterback in the form of Brandon Doughty. Western Kentucky should be able to shred Indiana’s secondary and win a high-scoring game here.

College Football Pick: Western Kentucky +1.5 at BWin

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