College Football Picks: Saturday NCAAF Value Betting

Joe Freda

Thursday, October 24, 2013 12:32 PM GMT

Saturday night’s college football betting card is loaded with its share of value plays this week, featuring action from a trio of different conferences.

Saturday Night Value Picks

South Carolina Gamecocks at Missouri Tigers

Missouri comes in unbeaten after last week’s upset over the Florida Gators in a 36-17 victory, collecting as a three-point home dog. Tigers quarterback Maty Mauk threw for a season-high 295 passing yards, while backfield mate Henry Josey dashed for 136 yards on 18 carries.

South Carolina saw a four-game winning streak end on the same afternoon, dropping a 23-21 contest to the Tennessee Voluteers as seven-point road ‘chalk.’ The Gamecocks moved to 1-4 ATS in their last five duels against foes with winning records.

College football odds makers have again given South Carolina too much respect here, hanging Steve Spurrier’s crew as a short dog in their visit to Columbia. Look for Missouri to come out on top by at least a touchdown, adding to the team’s 3-0-1 spread record in its four home dates.

Free Pick: Missouri Tigers -3 at William Hill

[gameodds]6/247529/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds] 

Texas Longhorns at TCU Horned Frogs

TCU picked up its third loss in Big 12 Conference play with last week’s 24-10 defeat to the Oklahoma State Cowboys, dropping to 2-5 ATS as a six-point road dog. The Horned Frogs fell behind at halftime, 17-0, with quarterback Trevone Boykin tossing three interceptions.

Texas went into its bye week with momentum, surging for a 36-20 victory over the Oklahoma Sooners in the “Red River Rivalry” as an improbable 13 ½-point underdog. The Longhorns also look for revenge here after last year’s 20-13 setback to TCU, trailing for the entire matchup.

TCU has logged a 1-7 ATS mark in its last eight dates at Amon G. Carter Stadium, while Texas has a 5-2 spread mark in its most recent seven road games against foes with losing home records. Look for the Longhorns to collect again here, with the sports books and public favoring the wrong team.

Free Pick: Texas Longhorns +2 at Bet365

[gameodds]6/247553/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds] 

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers

Oregon State reeled off a sixth straight win and third straight cashed ticket ATS in last week’s 49-17 triumph over the California Golden Bears. Beavers quarterback Sean Mannion threw four touchdowns as part of 481 yards through the air, guiding his squad to collect as an 11-point road favorite. 

Stanford has had its share of home-road disparity at NCAAF betting windows, cashing in last Saturday’s 24-10 win over UCLA to follow up the prior week’s 27-21 defeat at Utah. The Cardinal defense will likely not stay tight here, with Stanford going 0-4 ATS in its last four contests that followed a spot of allowing less than 20 points.

Oregon State has a 9-3-1 spread record in its last 13 matchups against rivals with winning records, while the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meeting between these Pacific-12 foes. Look for the Beavers to cash again here in a juicy underdog spot.

Free Pick: Oregon State Beavers +3 ½ at Heritage Sports

[gameodds]6/247535/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]