College Football Picks: Physical Dominance in the Trenches Will Carry Stanford -16 vs. Colorado

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, November 5, 2015 10:54 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 5, 2015 10:54 PM UTC

We’re going to examine Saturday’s contest between Colorado and Stanford. Go inside to read our betting preview article on this game which concludes with a college football pick.

Early Start Time in Pac-12 on Saturday
Colorado (4-5) hosts #9 Stanford on Saturday in a rare early Eastern Time Zone start for a Pac-12 game. The opening kickoff at Folsom Stadium in Boulder, Colorado is slated for 1:00 PM ET. According to college football odds at the time of this writing, Stanford was a 16-point favorite across the board. These teams haven’t met since 2012 when Stanford routed Colorado 48-0 in Boulder.


The Stanford Resume
Stanford enters this week #9 in the AP Poll, and more importantly they’re 11th in the initial college football playoff rankings. They’re coming off a flat performance last week in which they escaped with a narrow 30-28 win at Washington State. In any event, it was their seventh win in a row since suffering a season opening loss at Northwestern. Now that they know where they stand in the playoff picture, style points always begin to factor into the equation. A decisive win against an opponent like Colorado becomes paramount if they hope to climb their way up in the rankings. I look for them to overwhelmingly win the war in the trenches on Saturday.


The Skinny on Colorado
Colorado has won four games this season, and one of those came against an opponent (Nicholls State) who plays at the FCS level. Their three wins against FBS foes have come against the likes of Massachusetts, Colorado State, and Oregon State. Those three teams enter this week with a combined record of just 6-18 (.250). The moral of the story is, although Colorado is improved from a season ago, they’re far from a quality football program as of yet.


Final Thoughts and Pick
During their current seven game win streak, Stanford is a combined +57.5 points against the spread. As a matter of fact, last Saturday they failed to cover for the first time in seven games, winning by just 2 as a 10-point favorite.

Any college football road favorite (Stanford) that’s covered by a combined 49 points or more in their previous seven games, and has a winning record, versus an opponent (Colorado) with a losing record, resulted in the road favorite going 59-22 ATS (72.8%) during the past ten seasons. The average line in those 81 games was 15.9, and the road team had a +22.1 point per game differential. This exact betting angle has gone 4-0 ATS in 2015 and 26-7 ATS (78.8%) during the last three seasons.

I ordinarily don’t like giving away this many points on the road, but this is an exception. One of my college football picks this week will echo that sentiment.

College Football Picks: Play on Stanford -16 at BetCRIS

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