College Football Picks: Oregon vs. Stanford

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, November 5, 2013 2:49 PM GMT

The Oregon Ducks have dominated all eight of their opponents thus far in 2013, but things may change when traveling to take on the Stanford Cardinal Thursday night. 

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds page for this Pac-12 Conference matchup at Stanford Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Take a look at our SBR's College Football Picks for Week 11 Betting Odds Report

Going on the road

Oregon has won 18 straight non-neutral site away games, but it has played away from Eugene just three times during the 2013 campaign. 

The Ducks are 10-0 SUATS as a road favorite over the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 6-4 in that situation. 

It’s important to point out that this Pac-12 matchup has gone above the betting total in the last four meetings in Palo Alto, CA. 

Success in hosting ranked opponents 

The Stanford Cardinal is 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS through eight games this season, as it prepares to line up as an underdog for the first time. 

The Cardinal have won 11 of their 12 home games against ranked opponents since 2009, while compiling a 30-1 SU record in its last 31 opportunities when playing in California. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program has covered the number in all four of its games when receiving points on the odds board.

Mariota

College football handicappers will definitely have an interest in playing the road favorite, considering that no team has more plays of 20-plus yards offensively, while the defense has allowed the fewest.

Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota is the leader of one of the nation’s most explosive attacks, while he has attempted a Pac-12 record 293 passes without an interception. 

In five career games on grass surfaces, the sophomore has thrown for 1,070 yards and ran for another 458. 

Important categories

There’s no question that the Cardinal are going to give up points in this matchup, which could lead to some scores of their own, as they lead the nation in kickoff return average. 

Stanford will also need to win the battle on third down, as it ranks 22nd and 24th in offense and defense conversion rate respectively in those categories.

[gameodds]6/239112/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cardinal with their College Football picks, as the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. 

Oregon’s head coach Mark Helfrich has felt absolutely no pressure through eight games of the season in terms of decision making, but I’m expecting that to change Thursday.

College Football Pick:  Stanford Cardinal +10.5