College Football Picks: Oregon State vs. Oregon Civil War

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 27, 2013 2:10 PM GMT

The Oregon State Beavers have had little success against the Oregon Ducks in recent years, but that may change in the 117th edition of the Civil War Friday.

Expect an all-out effort 

Oregon State was humiliated in suffering its fourth consecutive loss, as they dropped a 69-27 decision to the Washington Huskies as two-point NCAAF odds favorites last Saturday. They got out-gained by a sizable 278-yard margin. 

The Beavers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at Reser Stadium, while they’ve stayed within the number in 12 of their last 14 conference affairs when coming off multiple losses.

Falling into a pattern 

After dominating its first eight opponents, Oregon has alternated wins and losses over its last three affairs, as it attempts to bounce back from a 42-16 setback to the Arizona Wildcats as 20.5-point road favorites in Week 13.

The Ducks are trying to finish off a perfect season at home for the first time since 2010, while improving to 16-7-1 SU against the Beavers at this venue.

Throwing it around 

College football handicappers should definitely take a long look at the road underdog in this spot, considering the Beavers rank third nationally in passing yards per game—no Pac-12 school has led the country in that statistic since 1960. 

Through 11 games this season, Oregon State quarterback Sean Mannion and receiver Brandin Cooks have combined for 15 touchdown passes. 

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Banged up 

There’s no question that Ducks signal-caller Marcus Mariota is banged up, but he’s expected to be on the field in this high-profile affair despite being hampered by head and knee injuries. 

It’s important to point out that he has thrown for at least one touchdown in all 24 games of this career and enters with a 59-to-8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. 

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Beavers in this spot for their college football picks, as the road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings of this in-state rivalry. 

College Football Pick: Oregon State Beavers +22