College Football Picks: Oregon State vs. Arizona State

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, November 13, 2013 3:10 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2013 3:10 PM GMT

A clash of PAC-12 rivals will take place in the desert on Saturday night when Oregon State travels to ASU but where do the college football betting odds lie in this one?

Oregon State Beavers (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS)

The Beavers were licked by the Trojans (sometimes, it's just too easy) last time they took the field on Friday November 1st, disappointing both their fans and their backers when they lost by the score of 31-14 as 5 ½ point home chalk. It was the second home loss in a row as they dropped a 20-12 decision to Stanford the week before. But now they take to the highway where they are a perfect 4-0 and 3-1 ATS on the betting odds.

However, it should be noted that none of their road wins were against ranked teams and Oregon State is a dismal 3-10 when facing Top 25 teams on the road since 2008. The last time the Beavers touched down in Tempe it was a 35-20 defeat in 2011 though they did cover the number with the 17 ½ point head start from the oddsmakers.

Though the Beavers rely heavily on the pass, averaging 404 yards per game, quarterback Sean Mannion was thrashed against a relentless pass rush by Stanford, getting sacked eight times and held to only one TD. The following week when they hosted USC, the normally accurate Mannion tossed three picks and the dynamic pass/catch combination of Sean Mannion to Brandin Cooks has suddenly fallen silent. They will have to get loud again if they are to defeat Arizona State on their own turf.

Tune in to our Week 12 betting odds report to 

Arizona State Sun Devils (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)

The Devils have reeled off four straight victories and will be looking for number five come Saturday night which, if successful, will be the first time since 2007 they have accomplished this feat.  Since a loss to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Octoober 3rd, the Sun Devils have gone on to punish their opponents by scoring an average of 54 points in wins (and covers) over Colorado, Washington and Washington State. Last week they traveled to the home of the Utah Utes and came away with a narrow 20-19 victory.

Like their opponent on Saturday, the Sun Devils are most comfortable when passing and moving the chains. They are currently averaging 304 passing yards per game (18th) and are lighting the board up with over 43 points per game which ranks them 9th in the nation. Junior quarterback Taylor Kelly has 24 passing TD's on the season and has utilized his full aresenal of weapons which includes Marion Grice coming out of the backfield along with Jaelen Strong, D.J. Foster, Chris Coyle, Kevin Ozier and Richard Smith.

Check out our picks on #4 Stanford vs. USC~

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The Free Pick:

If you like numbers then ASU has a few good ones for you. The Sun Devils are 6-1 ATS over their last seven home games, 4-1 ATS in their last five versus PAC-12 opponents and 5-2-1 ATS against teams with a winning road record (aka Oregon State). But despite the recent string of victories and all the good vibrations coming out of Tempe, you have to consider what Oregon State brings to the table.

First off, the Beavers may have fallen off in their last two games with porous pass protection and woeful execution but this team didn't get bad overnight. There is the talented tandem of Mannion and Cooks that will test ASU's secondary. Secondly, OSU's running back Terron Ward, who gets overlooked due to the premium placed on passing on this team, may play a bigger role than anticipated against ASU. Ward averaged over 6 ½ yards per carry in his last game and the Beavers may look to mix it up by keeping the ball on the ground and keeping that ASU high octane offense off the field. For my college football picks, I like ASU to win but this looks like too many points to the visitor.

Play Oregon State +14 at Bet365.com

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