College Football Picks: Oregon Ducks vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Jeff Grant

Thursday, September 5, 2013 1:13 PM GMT

Thursday, Sep. 5, 2013 1:13 PM GMT

The Virginia Cavaliers need to control the football for a second consecutive week. Especially against a team like the Oregon Ducks. What is the best NCAAF picks against these betting lines?

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this non-conference matchup at Scott Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. 

Setting a school record

Oregon established a school record by gaining 772 yards last week, when they picked up a 66-3 blowout victory over Nicholls State as 59-point home favorites, while going OVER the betting total of 66.5.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Ducks are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS as favorites of 21.5 to 31 points, with the OVER cashing in five of those opportunities.

Pulled out a victory

UVA picked up a 19-16 season-opening win over the BYU Cougars as 2.5-point home underdogs last Saturday—despite getting outgained by 139 yards. It’s important to point out that the game had a two-hour weather delay in Charlottesville.  

The Cavaliers are 4-5 SU and 1-8 ATS in September since 2011, with the UNDER going 4-3-2 in that situation. 

Winning on the road 

College football handicappers are certainly aware that the Ducks have dominated opponents away from Eugene in recent years. They will look to extend the nation’s longest road winning streak to 16 games. 

The Ducks have covered the number in their last seven opportunities as road favorites. But, I’m not exactly interested in backing the program in this situation. Especially since they will be playing in their easternmost venue since 1970.

Punting the football

The Cavaliers became the first FBS team this century to punt 13 times in a game and pull out a victory, which can’t be ignored when making your college football picks Saturday.

A big reason for the lack of offense is the fact that the school was one of 11 entering this season without a quarterback that has started at the Division I level.

Virginia’s 34 underclassmen on its Week 2 depth chart is the most nationally, which will make it hard to improve upon its dismal 2-17-1 all-time record versus Top 5 opponents.

[gameodds]6/238966/?r-1=43-19-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total for their sports picks, as the UNDER is 11-3 in the Cavaliers’ last 14 home games.

College Football Picks: Under 61 at Bet365

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