College Football Picks: Oregon Ducks vs. Colorado Buffaloes

Joe Freda

Thursday, October 3, 2013 6:41 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 3, 2013 6:41 PM UTC

The No. 2 Oregon Ducks have torched foes for 59.8 PPG as part of their 4-0 spread record to start the season. Let's preview the betting odds for this matchup vs. Colorado.

The No. 2 Oregon Ducks have torched foes for 59.8 PPG as part of their 4-0 spread record to start the season. Saturday’s NCAAF sports betting has Mark Helfrich’s squad as heavy ‘chalk’ in a road matchup with the Colorado Buffaloes, who enter with a 2-1 ATS mark. 

Ducks cruise past Cal

Oregon’s latest victory came in Saturday’s 55-16 spanking of the California Golden Bears, cashing as a 38 ½-point home betting odds favorite. The Ducks jumped out to a 48-3 lead, including two punt returns for touchdowns by wide out Bralon Addison.

Ducks running backs Byron Marshall and Thomas Tyner united for 226 rushing yards on 32 carries, reaching the end zone for three scores. Oregon’s Marcus Mariota guided the offense to 21 first downs under center, tossing two touchdowns and taking one in from two yards out.

The Ducks’ defense held Cal to a 5-for-18 mark in third-down conversions, with cornerback Ifo Ekpre-Olomu grabbing his side’s sole interception. The lopsided duel’s combined 71 points dipped below the ‘total’ of 81, ending a 3-0 OVER streak from Oregon’s first trio of contests.

Buffaloes thrashed on the road

Colorado had opposite results on the same card, dropping a 44-17 matchup as 12-point road dog to the Oregon State Beavers. The Buffaloes gave up five touchdowns over the first three quarters, surrendering 540 total yards.

Buffaloes quarterback Connor Wood threw two interceptions as part of his side’s four turnovers, finishing with 146 passing yards in a 14-for-34 day. Colorado’s Michael Adkins ran for 98 yards on 14 carries out of the backfield, while he and his mates were held to 14 first downs in 25 minutes of possession.

Wood and Co. moved the sticks at a sparse 2-for-16 clip on third and fourth down situations, with punter Darragh O’Neill logging a sizable 10 appearances (41.1 YPP). Buffaloes wide out Paul Richardson caught a touchdown strike with 13 seconds left, sending the battle’s 61 points OVER the ‘total’ of 55 ½.

Back the UNDER in Boulder

Bet365 opened Oregon as a 38-point road favorite, while first listing the ‘total’ at 69. Early NCAAF betting on the Ducks and OVER lifted the numbers to 39 and 70, respectively.

I am backing the UNDER for my college football picks in this spot, looking for the octane of both sides to drop down the stretch.

Oregon could be caught looking ahead here to next week’s road affair with the No. 18 Washington Huskies, trying to put this away early. The Ducks’ defense should still do their part, holding foes to a stingy 14.3 PPG.

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Colorado will not find it any easier to move the ball here than last week’s smothering against the Beavers, while the UNDER is 5-2 in the team’s last seven home dates. The Buffaloes’ sole spot at Folsom Field this year saw UNDER backers collect with a 38-24 win, falling below a lofty ‘total’ of 63 ½. 

Look for the ‘total’ in this duel to be set too high again, giving UNDER backers no sweat in the matchup’s late minutes.

College Football Pick: UNDER 70 at Bet365

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