College Football Picks: Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State

Jeff Grant

Monday, November 25, 2013 3:27 PM GMT

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are a win a way from becoming bowl eligible, as they prepare to host the Mississippi Rebels Thursday night.

Let’s take a closer look at the college football betting odds for this Southeastern Conference affair at Davis Wade Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. 

Back on the road 

Mississippi had its four-game winning streak snapped last time out, as it suffered a 24-10 defeat to the Missouri Tigers as 2.5-point home underdogs, while going UNDER the betting total of 58.5.

The Rebels were unable to gain 500-plus yards of total offense for the first time since Nov. 9, as they hit the road for the first time since Oct. 5.

Tough stretch 

Mississippi State may lack the necessary energy to become bowl eligible, considering it comes off a 24-17 overtime victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks as 2.5-point road favorites last Saturday—a game that followed physical football games against Alabama, Texas A&M and South Carolina.

The Bulldogs may also have to play this game without the services of their top two quarterbacks, with Dak Prescott (arm) and Tyler Russell (shoulder) listed as expected to miss and questionable on the injury report. 

Wallace 

College football handicappers may elect to back the road team in this spot, considering Rebels quarterback Bo Wallace has gained 6,530 total yards in this career, which is the third-highest output in school history.

He completed 15 of 22 passes for 294 yards and five touchdowns with two interceptions in last year’s 41-24 win over the Bulldogs as one-point home underdogs. 

From a situational standpoint

The home team has covered the number in four of the last five meetings in this series, while the UNDER is on an 8-3 run. 

It’s important to point out that Mississippi State is 1-8 ATS in its last nine Thursday games, while this week’s opponent has gotten the cash in five of its last seven opportunities in that situation. 

Outlook 

I’m going to recommend that readers take a long look at the Rebels with their college football picks in this spot, but it’s nearly impossible to make a prediction on the outcome due to the current situation at quarterback for the Bulldogs, especially with no betting line established in the marketplace.