College Football Picks: Odds of the SEC Winning the BCS

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 3:12 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 27, 2013 3:12 PM UTC

Will the BCS Champion for 2013-2014 in college football come from the SEC Conference? That is an interesting question.

With Alabama winning 2 consecutive BCS titles and a 13/4 favorite to win a 3rd on the college football odds boards, you would think that there’s a good chance. However, many contenders remain a threat.

SEC Domination

We look at Bovada Sportsbook futures and 6 out of the top 11 teams that are favorite to win the BCS Championship come from the SEC. This includes Alabama (13/4), Texas A&M (10/1), Georgia (14/1), LSU (16/1), South Carolina (22/1), and Florida (25/1).

Although this is a large list, realistically, only 2 teams out of this list have a legitimate shot at winning.

Alabama Crimson Tide (13-1, 7-1)

Alabama made the Notre Dame defense look like Swiss Cheese en route to a 42-14 blowout in the championship game. The Tide exposed Manti Te’o and the Notre Dame defense for 529 overall yards and Alabama’s defense ranked 1st in the nation, allowing just 10.9 points per game. After the win over Notre Dame, coach Nick Saban was asked about the word dynasty and with a championship this season, you would have to consider Alabama to be a dynasty.

The Tide dominated the recruiting scene. This team is only going to get stronger and have just a couple of threats this year as they were declared the favorite by the odds makers.

Texas A&M Aggies (11-2, 6-2)

I actually think that the bettors are getting super value with the Aggies at 10/1. This is a team that served Alabama their only loss last season and sported the best player in college football in quarterback Johnny Manziel.

Manziel walked away being the only freshman to win the Heisman Trophy, a 41-13 victory over Landry Jones and the Oklahoma Sooners in the AT&T Cotton Bowl, and celebrity status. “Johnny Football” is simply unstoppable through the air and on the ground. NFL scouts are licking their chops, waiting for Manziel to declare leaving early for the NFL.

This is a big money player and he puts Texas A&M right in the thick of the hunt for the BCS Championship.

Although any SEC team can beat any other team on any given day, Alabama and Texas A&M are the only legitimate threats to win it all.

The Threat

Ohio State Buckeyes (12-0, 8-0)

I don’t care that the odds makers have the Oregon Ducks as the 2nd favorite to win it all at 13/2; the Ohio State Buckeyes are the best team in college football and with the best head coach.

Ohio State went undefeated last season, but was unable to participate in the post season thanks to the players and head coach of previous years. Ohio State was clearly better than Notre Dame last year and would’ve given Bama a run for their money. You knew the second that head coach Urban Meyer was “coming home” this would be a winning football team. Meyer has won 2 championships with Florida and aside from Saban, has the most respected reputation in college football.

He and quarterback Braxton Miller didn’t disappoint. You could say that the level of competition in the SEC is superior to that of the Big-Ten. I mean really, did anyone expect a 7 win team like Wisconsin to score 70 points on the Nebraska Cornhuskers in the Big-Ten Championship Game?

Meyer and the Buckeyes still have a lot to prove.  The strongest team on Ohio State’s schedule is the Michigan Wolverines. Michigan is a 35/1 shot to win the BCS Championship. Off of schedule alone, Ohio State will have an easier road than Alabama or Texas A&M, but they won’t be tested as if they were in the SEC.

Look For the Value

Alabama has too many difficult opponents along the way and I don’t see a dynasty. You have a much better chance at taking Texas A&M and Ohio State with such great value. Where Ohio State is concerned, it’s very difficult for a team to have back to back undefeated seasons and where Texas A&M is concerned, they’re playing high level competition and can Johnny Football duplicate the season that he had last year?

I’m leaning towards Ohio State for this future college football pick, but this is a 3 team race.

comment here