College Football Picks: Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 6, 2013 1:38 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2013 1:38 PM GMT

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish may get back to their defensive ways after chasing around the triple-option the last two weeks, as they hit the road to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers Saturday. Where does the best value lie for this matchup?

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this non-conference matchup at Heinz Field, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Check out SBR's College Football Picks for Week 11 Betting Odds Report

Moving past the academies

Notre Dame has won four games in a row, including victories over Navy and Air Force in the last two weeks—winning the statistical battle in both of those efforts.

The Fighting Irish are 8-1 SU and 3-6 ATS in November the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 6-3 in that situation.

Trending below the total

Pittsburgh will look to put an end to its two-game losing streak, while its last five affairs have fallen short of the betting total.

The Panthers have one of the best defensive players in the country in Aaron Donald, who leads the nation in tackles for loss per game.

He leads active players nationally with 27.5 career sacks, but his 11 tackles last week weren’t enough to secure a victory in a 21-10 defeat to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets as 11.5-point road underdogs.

Kelly is familiar with the opposition

College football handicappers need to take a long look at potentially backing the Fighting Irish, as head coach Brian Kelly is 5-1 SU in his career against the Panthers.

Notre Dame picked up a 29-26 overtime victory over Pittsburgh as 16.5-point home favorites in last year’s meeting—winning the statistical battle by a 522-308 margin.

Led by youth

The Panthers are led in six different statistical categories by freshmen, including receiver Tyler Boyd pacing the program with 1,000 all-purpose yards.

He plays a major part in the ACC’s most productive receiving tandem, as he ranks sixth in averaging 5.6 receptions per game, while teammate Devin Street is third with 98.6 receiving yards per game.

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Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total for their college football pick, as the UNDER is 17-8 in Notre Dame’s last 25 games overall.

NCAAF Pick: Under 51

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