Only One New Head Coach Has National Title Shot In 2019

Monday, April 8, 2019 4:45 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 8, 2019 4:45 PM UTC

It’s very rare for a first-year head coach to win a national championship right off the bat. Let’s break down some notable new coaches for the 2019 NCAA season and see if that trend will continue.

<p>Maybe it’s a good season to be a fan of the Miami Hurricanes football program. Why do we say that with UM off a hugely disappointing 7-6 2018 campaign and with Coach Mark Richt surprisingly retiring?</p><p>Because there have been just three occasions in modern NCAA history in which a head coach won a national title in his first year at a school. The past two both happened at Miami with Larry Coker in the 2001 season (winning with Butch Davis’ players) and Dennis Erickson in 1989 (winning with Jimmy Johnson’s players).</p><p>Richt was replaced by ex-Miami defensive coordinator Manny Diaz, who had taken the top job at Temple but was there for less than three weeks. There was never any doubt that Diaz would return to Miami because he grew up there and his father was a former mayor of the city. UM had to pay Temple $4 million for the privilege of bringing Diaz back. Obviously, Diaz never would have left if he had any inkling that Richt was going to step down. That caught everyone off guard.</p><p>The Hurricanes are +7500 currently at <a href=";book=5dimes" target="_blank">5Dimes </a>to win next season’s national championship. I wouldn’t say that’s impossible with plenty of talent returning, especially on defense, but it’s hard to see Miami getting past <a href="" target="_blank">Clemson (+175)</a> in a potential ACC Championship Game to even reach the College Football Playoff. Miami is also a 7.5-point underdog for its opener in Orlando on Aug. 24 against rival Florida.</p><p>Miami was one of a handful of Power 5 jobs to change hands this offseason. Also in the ACC, Georgia Tech’s Paul Johnson took his wishbone offense and retired, replaced by Temple’s Geoff Collins – that’s the guy Diaz was replacing at Temple. Sorry, but the Yellow Jackets aren’t winning a national championship any time soon. They are +100000 for 2019.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Ohio State has a challenging schedule under first-year head coach Ryan Day. Checking out what's ahead for the Buckeyes in 2019... &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Athlon Sports (@AthlonSports) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;April 8, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Two other ACC jobs opened: Louisville fired Bobby Petrino during last season and replaced him with Appalachian State’s Scott Satterfield. He has been one of the top coaches in the Group of 5 conferences over the past four seasons, winning at least a share of the last three Sun Belt titles. It’s a good get for Louisville, although the school first wanted Purdue’s Jeff Brohm, a former Cardinals quarterback. UofL is +50000 on the <a href=";book=5dimes" target="_blank">5Dimes</a> national title odds.</p><p>North Carolina dumped Larry Fedora and brought back Mack Brown to replace him. Historically, coaches returning to former schools like Brown hasn’t worked out. Guys like Johnny Majors (Pitt), John Robinson (USC), Bill Snyder (Kansas State) and Bill Walsh (Stanford) all had poorer win-loss records their second time around. UNC is +200000.</p><p>In the Big 12, Texas Tech dumped Kliff Kingsbury for Utah State’s Matt Wells – Kingsbury somehow upgraded his job by landing as the head coach of the Arizona Cardinals – and West Virginia lost Dana Holgorsen to Houston and replaced him with Troy’s Neal Brown. He is one of only six FBS coaches with 10 victories in each of the past three seasons. Rather odd Holgorsen would leave a power conference job for one in the Group of 5, but money talks. TTU is +50000 on the 2019 title odds and WVU the same price.</p><p>In the Pac-12, Colorado said goodbye to Mike MacIntyre and replaced him with Mel Tucker. Meh. In the Big Ten, Maryland hired Mike Locksley to replace D.J. Durkin. Neither the Buffs or Terps are very good.</p><p>We give just one new head coach any chance at a title this season and it’s Ohio State’s Ryan Day, who replaced Urban Meyer. Day isn’t technically new, either, as he was the interim head coach for the first three games of last year while Meyer was suspended. The Buckeyes went 3-0 with Day on the sideline. He has had a 15-year coaching career in college football and the NFL but has never been a full-time head coach. Day is considered a quarterback guru and has a potentially great one in Georgia transfer Justin Fields. <a href="" target="_blank">Ohio State is +1000 fourth-favorite to win it all</a> in 2019.</p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="" target="_blank">Join The Discussion At SBR's College Football Betting Forum</a></p>
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