College Football Picks: Nevada vs. Florida State

Jeff Grant

Thursday, September 12, 2013 2:43 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 12, 2013 2:43 PM UTC

The Florida State Seminoles have one of the more dynamic offenses in the country, as they prepare to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack Saturday.

Let’s take a closer look at the College Football odds for this non-conference matchup at Doak Campbell Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. 

Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 3.

First trip to the Sunshine State

Nevada is set to make its first trip to the state of Florida, as it comes off a 36-7 victory over UC Davis as 22-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total of 60.5. 

The Wolf Pack are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs of 20-plus points, as they prepare to play just their third game under first-year head coach Brian Polian. 

Electrifying debut 

Florida State hasn’t been seen on the gridiron since picking up a 41-13 victory over the Pittsburgh Panthers as 11.5-point road favorites on Sept. 2, but everyone is still talking about quarterback Jameis Winston. 

The redshirt freshmen completed 25 of 27 passes for 356 yards and four touchdowns, as he’ll be protected by one of the better offensive lines in the ACC during the 2013 campaign. 

It’s important to point out that the program’s last four games coming off a bye week were decided by a single score. 

A dual threat visiting Tallahassee 

College football handicappers aren’t going to back the Wolf Pack on the money line in this affair, considering the Seminoles are 30-0 SU as favorites of 31 or more points since 1992, but they do have a chance of staying within the point spread.

Nevada dual-threat quarterback Cody Fajardo has thrown for 4,896 yards and ran for another 1,957 in this career—making him a dangerous player for a team to prepare for after not playing for 12 days.

Winning at home

The Seminoles have compiled a 33-2 SU record in their last 35 home openers, but they’ve gone just 7-7 ATS in front of their fans since the start of the 2011 season.

Florida State is extremely balanced offensively with Winston proving that he’s capable of striking in the air, while running backs Devonta Freeman and James Wilder Jr. have combined for 2,144 rushing yards in their careers.

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I’m going to recommend that readers play the total with their college football picks, as the OVER is 4-1 in the Seminoles’ last five games in the month of September. 

Florida State will need to play its starters for a good portion of this game due to its early-season schedule, as it prepares to host outmanned Bethune Cookman in Week 4. 

College Football Pick:  Over 65

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