College Football Picks: Navy's "Ship" is Totally Secure Against SMU

Joe Catalano

Friday, November 13, 2015 2:47 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 13, 2015 2:47 PM GMT

This isn't a matter of who wins, it's a matter of how many points will Navy win by? See our answer as we provide in-depth coverage of this game & college football pick.

 

Kickoff is scheduled for Saturday, November 14th at 3:30 p.m. ET at Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland.

According to 5Dimes, Navy is a 21 point betting favorite and the total for the game is listed at 61 on the college football odds board. This seems a tad low as I think that odds makers don't take the option as serious as some other offensive schemes, but Navy has certainly proven that they are for real.

We basically know what Navy is going to come with. They average 326.5 yards rushing per game which is 3rd in the nation and passing is rarely an option; no pun intended as the Midshipmen average 68.3 yards passing per game.

It's an ugly style of offense to actually watch, but we're concerned with the betting aspect and Navy has a cupcake in SMU in front of them and a lot on the line. I expect them to have no trouble with SMU because defense is a major weakness with the Mustangs. SMU is taylor-made for Navy as they attempt to climb up the AP Top 25 rankings.

 

Keenan Reynolds
Reynolds will be the focal point for the so-called SMU defense as he's the main source of offense for Navy. The undersized senior quarterback has rushed for 791 yards and 13 TD's, but what I like about this quarterback is that he doesn't make mistakes when he's decided to throw the football throughout his career.

For his career, Reynolds has 26 TD and 7 INT and that includes 3 TD's with no picks this season. Navy's "ship" is totally secure with Reynolds behind center and you can expect the Midshipmen to move the football up and down the field as they also have a very capable runner in Chris Swain (690 yards, 8 TD).

The only issue that I would have with a betting total like this and the over is the clock will be constantly moving with Navy's no surprise offense and that will definitely get me off of the total.

 

No Pony Express 
Eric Dickerson and Craig James must be cringing at the thought of the status of the current SMU team as this is a team with a Swiss Cheese-like defense, but a respectable offense to go along with it.

SMU quarterback, Matt Davis, is another quarterback that doesn't make mistakes as he's thrown for 1946 yards with 15 TD and 5 INT on the season. That said, Davis sure isn't getting help from his team's offensive line as he's been sacked 34 times this season.

SMU has a very nice mixture of running and passing as Davis has been able to hook up with wide receiver, Courtland Sutton, on 40 occasions for 748 yards and 9 TD's. They're not the Pony Express, but the combination of Davis (the quarterback) (552 yards, 8 TD's ) and Xavier Jones (478 yards, 7 TD) have been able to provide an element of surprise where the offensive scheme is concerned and that's always beneficial unless they're a team such as Navy that runs the option.

As we've stated here before, it's not SMU's offense that will lead to their demise, it's Keenan Reynolds of Navy and poor defense of SMU that will decide the outcome of this game. SMU's record certainly doesn't lie. Take Navy and lay the 3 touchdown spread as your college football pick.

College Football Pick: Navy -21 at 5Dimes

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