College Football Picks: Missouri vs. Indiana

Jeff Grant

Friday, September 20, 2013 1:03 PM GMT

The Indiana Hoosiers and Missouri Tigers will be featured in the only game between the Big Ten and SEC during the regular season, as the two teams prepare to face off Saturday.

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this non-conference affair at Memorial Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET on the Big Ten Network.

Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 4.

Rare occurrence

Missouri has compiled a 5-2 SU record on the road against non-conference opponents since 2003, as it prepares to leave Columbia for the first time this season after picking up a pair of victories over Toledo and Murray State.

The Tigers have won seven of their nine games against Big Ten Conference opponents during the Gary Pinkel era, but that success includes a 6-0 mark versus the Illinois Fighting Illini.

Explosive 

Indiana has alternated wins and losses in its first three games, as it comes off a 42-10 blowout victory over the Bowling Green Falcons as 2.5-point home favorites last Saturday.

The Hoosiers lead the Big Ten in total touchdowns, with quarterback Nate Sudfeld leading the way with 10 scoring strikes through the air.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 5-10 SU and 9-6 ATS at home, with the OVER going 11-3-1 in that situation.

Life on the road 

College football handicappers need to realize that the Tigers have dropped their last 10 true road games against Big Ten foes, as they aim for a 3-0 record for the seventh time in Pinkel’s 13-season tenure on campus.

Missouri is 3-7 SU and 6-4 ATS on the road over the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER cashing in six of those opportunities.

Plenty of options

Sudfeld has plenty of options in the passing game, as Indiana has five players that have the opportunity to reach 100 receptions and 1,000 yards in 2013. Only 18 Hoosiers have ever obtained those milestones in their careers.

Dating back to last season, the team has thrown for 300-or-more yards in five consecutive games.

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Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers look to the total with their college football picks, as the OVER is 17-4 in the Hoosiers’ last 21 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous contest.

Last week’s result of holding Bowling Green to just 10 points has given this number some value in the market.

College Football Pick: Over 71