College Football Picks: Mississippi vs. Texas

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 12, 2013 12:42 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 12, 2013 12:42 PM UTC

The Ole Miss Rebels travel to Austin on Saturday night to take on the Texas Longhorns with kickoff slated for 8:00 PM ET. Where are we looking to place our college football picks in this matchup?

CFB Preview-Ole Miss/Texas

According to current College Football odds Texas is a 2.5-point favorite. These two teams met last season in Oxford, Mississippi and the Longhorns came away with a convincing 66-31 win, and covered easily as a 10.0-point favorite. The Rebels enter this contest 2-0 and ranked 25th in both the AP and USA Today polls. The Texas Longhorns is 1-1 after suffering a humiliating 40-21 loss as a 6.0-point favorite at BYU.

Take a look at our College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 3.

Adversity in Austin

It was certainly an eventful week for the Longhorns players and coaching staff following last week’s debacle that in Provo, Utah. BYU not only rang up 40-points but amassed 679 yards of total offense including an unbelievable 555 on the ground. As a result defensive coordinator Manny Diaz was fired and replaced by Greg Robinson. In addition starting quarterback David Ash sustained an injury that will keep him out of this week’s contest. That’s a huge loss for the Longhorns offense. Ash had thrown for 594 yards and 6 touchdowns in the first 2 games. Ash had a monster game versus Ole Miss last season going 19/23 for 326 yards and 4 touchdowns.

Ash will be replaced by senior Case McCoy who is 150/243 (61.5%) with 13 touchdowns versus 7 picks in his college career. McCoy is the brother of current NFL quarterback and Texas alum Colt McCoy. He’ss a capable replacement with the exception he lacks the mobility of Ash. Texas head coach Mack Brown is once again feeling the heat from the media and the Longhorns faithful.

Revenge is on their Minds

This is an experienced Ole Miss team that has a bad taste in their mouths after being shellacked at home on national television versus Texas a season ago. The Rebels still have some question marks defensively, but the offense has a plethora of talent at the skilled positions. Junior quarterback Bo Wallace is a JUCO transfer that won a national championship at that level. Wallace begins his 2nd season as the Rebels starting signal caller. He’s not flashy, but is efficient, tough, and plays with a swagger. The Rebels running back Jeff Scott has run for 166 yards in the first 2 games and is averaging a terrific 10.4 yards per carry. The Rebels have a dynamic wide receiver tandem in veteran Donte Moncrief and highly touted freshmen Laquon Treadwell.

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The Never Lost Angle

Any away underdog of 2.5 or less that’s playing with revenge prior to game 10 of the season, versus an opponent coming off a straight up favorite loss in which they allowed 32-points or more is 12-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The away underdog won those 12 games by an average of 13.4 points per game.

College Football Free Pick: Mississippi +2.5 over Texas
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