College Football Picks: Lay the Big Chalk on Baylor vs. Texas Tech

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, September 30, 2015 7:01 PM GMT

Texas Tech and Baylor face off in Arlington in this Big 12 showdown. Last year,Baylor held on for a 48-46 victory, after leading the game by a score of 45-20. Check our college football pick inside.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor (-17) 3:30 ET ESPN, Arlington, TX
Texas Tech and Baylor face off in Arlington in this Big 12 showdown. Last year, Baylor held on for a 48-46 victory in this matchup, after leading the game by a score of 45-20. In fact, TTRR had an opportunity to tie the contest with a 2 point conversion with a minute to go. As a result, Baylor will not take this team lightly, if they needed more proof they need only watch game films of last week’s game between TCU and TTRR.  It took a Hail Mary type of TCU 4th down completion for the Horned Ones to outlast the Red Raiders (55-52) last week. That defeat was a bit draining to say the least and was TTRR’s first loss of the season. 

Comparative scores are a dangerous way to handicap. But, you can be sure that the pollsters, when putting the human element in their ratings, will be doing just that! With that in mind, let’s consider the common opponents between Baylor and TCU. Baylor beat SMU by 35; TCU beat SMU by 19. Surely, the Bears will be looking to make a statement against a team that TCU just squeezed by last week. 

Texas Tech has been one of the surprise teams of the season. Maybe it should not be so surprising, considering they have 16 RS and a team ranked in the top 20 in overall experience! Blowout wins to start the season over Sam Houston and UTEP were not a surprise. The upset of Arkansas garnered the nation’s attention, as did last week’s loss to TCU. The Air Raid offense is in fine form, averaging 54 PPG on 595 YPG.  As expected,Tech has averaged 398/9.1 through the air. What is surprising is the offensive balance with a rushing attack that has averaged 197/6.2. In the game vs. the Frogs last week, Tech ran for 215 yards. Impressive!    

Baylor current stands No. 4 in the country(one spot behind TCU) in the coaches’ poll. That means Baylor will be loaded for Bear in this ESPN contest at the home of the Dallas Cowboys. Baylor leads the nation in offense with 64 PPG on an amazing 767 YPG. Most impressive is that they are both running and passing for 380 or more yards. Where these two teams part ways is on the defensive side of the ball! For, the Bears are allowing just 23 PPG on only 318 YPG and 4.4 YP play.  

A total of 90 points in this game tells you all you need to know about where this game is going. But with Texas Tech QB Mahomes questionable for this game with an injured knee suffered last week and the Baylor defense a far superb entity, only one team may do their share in putting up offensive numbers. Make Baylor your college football pick in the crusher of the week with the 17 point college football odds looking miniscule by the time the 4th quarter rolls around. Bears’ defense shuts the back door this year!

College Football Pick: Baylor -17 at Bookmaker

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