College Football Picks: Kent State vs. LSU

Jeff Grant

Friday, September 13, 2013 12:10 PM GMT

Friday, Sep. 13, 2013 12:10 PM GMT

The LSU Tigers have been impressive on the offensive end through two games, but they may turn conservative against the Kent State Golden Flashes with their SEC opener upcoming.

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this non-conference matchup at Tiger Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPNU.

Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 3.

A new coaching staff

Kent State is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS through two games, as it begins life under first-year head coach Paul Haynes, who served as the Arkansas Razorbacks defensive coordinator in 2012. 

College football handicappers will find that the Haynes’ defense limited the Tigers to 306 yards in a 20-13 setback as 11.5-point home underdogs last year.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Golden Flashes are 6-9 SU and 7-8 ATS as underdogs, with the OVER going 8-7 in that situation. 

Putting up impressive numbers

LSU has gotten off to a fast start offensively in posting a 2-0 SUATS record, as it has averaged 446.5 yards per game—scoring on all nine of their trips inside the red zone. 

Longtime college and NFL coach Cam Cameron has just begun his first year in Baton Rouge as offensive coordinator, while Zach Mettenberger’s six touchdowns and 533 passing yards are the most by any quarterback through the first two games in program history.

Flashes need to force a turnover 

After forcing 37 turnovers in its first 13 games a year ago, Kent State hasn’t forced an opponent miscue in its last three games. 

The Golden Flashes have won their last six true road games, but they’ve compiled a 0-11 all-time when taking on Southeastern Conference opponents.

Long winning streaks 

The Tigers have won all 22 of their games as favorites of 31 or more points since 1992, which is a big reason why they’ll likely extend their winning streak against non-conference opponents in the regular season to 44 games Saturday.

LSU’s 27-game winning streak in September is also an impressive number—leading the nation in that particular category. 

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Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers look to the total with their college football picks, as the UNDER is 3-1 in the Tigers’ last four home games with a betting total of 52.5 to 56.

College Football Pick:  Under 55

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