College Football Picks: How Will Teams Respond Off Wins or Losses?

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, November 10, 2015 9:49 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2015 9:49 PM GMT

Last week was referred to as "Separation Saturday" and football fans were given real treats. Now we move ahead and look at the college football odds for this upcoming week to make new determinations.

For some teams they suffered their first defeats of the season and historically they come back and cover less the 40 percent of the time once this occurs in November. Should these teams be looked at for or against for college football picks with an unsettled mental state? Also, what about others off extremely important victories, are these squads a little off kilter and if so what could that mean to those making sports and football handicappers?

Here is an early week look at the college football odds from Heritage into the possibilities.

 

Michigan State -18-Point Home Favorite vs. Maryland
The Spartans have to quickly mentally regroup from the Nebraska upset and whether you agree with the call about the Nebraska receiver being forced out before reestablishing himself for winning score (disagree with ruling), the fact still remains Michigan State allowed 499 yards to the Cornhuskers. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS, have Ohio State next week and faces a Maryland squad that does not give up and is on a 4-0 ATS run.

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Memphis -17-Point Road Underdog vs. Houston
Memphis found out what many teams facing the Navy regularly understand, the Middies option is no fun to play. The Tigers were leveraged and low-blocked to death in giving up 374 yards rushing. What the real shocker was Memphis inability to respond at home, in only scoring 20 points. Houston has the most talent on both sides of the ball in the AAC and the Tigers will have to overcome disappointment and they are 0-4 SU and ATS against the Cougars recently.

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Alabama -7-Point Road Favorite vs. Mississippi State
No team was more impressive than Alabama last week as they dismantled LSU. But lying in the weeds with cowbells is Mississippi State, an afterthought all season at 7-2 and 6-3 ATS. The Bulldogs lost to LSU 21-19 and at Texas A&M when they were still playing well. Dak Prescott is the best quarterback the Crimson Tide have faced this season and maybe all year and he has the dual-threat ability that has bothered Bama for years. The oddsmakers' line tells you what they think about Mississippi State in Starksville.

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Oklahoma State -13.5-Point Road Favorite vs. Iowa State
After being overshadowed all season by other Big 12 teams, Oklahoma State had its coming out party in trouncing TCU. The Cowboys offense is as good as any in the country and they rank second in the conference in fewest points allowed at 23.8. However, Okie State fans have seen this movie before, four years ago when 10-0 Oklahoma State lost at Ames 37-31 in 2OT's as 27-point road favorites and the Cowboys have Baylor and Oklahoma up next in Stillwater.

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LSU -8.5-Point Home Favorite vs. Arkansas
Tigers players, coaches and fans have to be stunned their team was whipped in the trenches by Alabama. LSU would appear to be a long shot to make Final Four now and carries that disappointment in against an Arkansas team whom they are 1-7 ATS against the last eight years. The good news for Bengal Tigers fans from Baton Rouge, they are 8-2 ATS after their initial loss of the season since 2003.

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Utah -5-Point Road Favorite vs. Arizona
Once beaten Utah was actually a three-point road underdog at Washington, but ran for 199 yards and made the necessary defensive plays to win 34-23. If the Utes win the next two weeks, they are in great shape with only a home game with Colorado remaining. Nonetheless, Utah cannot look ahead to UCLA next week because they are 2-6 ATS against Arizona, which includes a current run of 0-3 SU and ATS. No easy contest for the Utes.

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Iowa -11.5-Point Home Favorite vs. Minnesota
Kirk Ferentz and Iowa are starting to be dogged like a presidential candidates for 9-0 (6-3 ATS) record. The Hawkeyes do not have the athletes of most in the Top 15 in country and their schedule will get some to roll eyes, still, they keep winning. Everyone will start talking about their game at Nebraska on Nov.27th, but Iowa is 3-5-1 ATS versus Minnesota of late and the Golden Gophers have covered against Michigan and Ohio State the past two weeks and don't forget about TCU in the opener. Iowa was mauled by Minnesota 51-14 last season and could have their hands full to win back the Floyd of Rosedale trophy.

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