College Football Picks: Grab Missouiri to Cover as Uconn's Offense Wont Hold Up

David Lawrence

Tuesday, September 15, 2015 12:02 PM GMT

Lets review the odds board as we search for the best college football picks when Missouri welcomes the chance to play a home game vs. Connecticut in week 3 of the NCAAF betting season. 

The Connecticut Huskies and the Missouri Tigers need to test themselves in non-conference play, so this meeting in the third week of the season should reveal a lot about these two sides.

Must Read: Week 3 Numbers that Stand Out in College Football Betting Markets

Momentum
These two teams are both feeling very good about themselves. Connecticut is not blowing anyone out of the water, but the Huskies are 2-0, thereby gaining a record which many people expected to be 0-2 at this point in time. UConn has done this with defense, grinding out two close wins against Villanova and Army. UConn was able to control the tempo of games and toughen up in the final third of the field. Not allowing more than 17 points in two games, even against weaker offenses, speaks to a certain degree of consistency. Missouri’s offense is not a full-throttle attack, so Connecticut hopes it can limit Mizzou to 17 points and see if its offense can scratch out 20.

Missouri did not have an easy time of things at Arkansas State last week, but if you think Arkansas State is a good team out of the Sun Belt, you might not view Missouri’s one-possession win as a bad or shaky result. The Tigers were down by a touchdown at the half but overpowered the Red Wolves in the second half to take command of that game and win. Missouri’s defense, especially its defensive front, has been the strength of the team over the past two seasons. Missouri’s continued ability to limit opposing offenses in second halves is what has made this program so good. That’s an encouraging sign heading into a game against a UConn offense which is very limited.

 

Line Moves
The line was minus-21.5 points in some places, and 22 elsewhere, but 22.5 at several outlets. There’s a fluctuating line because people aren’t sure what to make of the Arkansas State team that pushed Missouri hard, and there are people who aren’t sure how much UConn should be upgraded for being 2-0. Army is not that good a team, but UConn winning twice when it could have been 0-2 is catching some eyes. That’s why this College Football Odds are dancing.

 

Notable Injuries
Connecticut is without offensive lineman Ryan Crozier for the season, due to a leg injury.

Missouri has a number of injury situations to worry about. Jason Reese, a tight end, is questionable for this game with a knee injury. Halfback Russell Hansbrough, a starter, is expected to miss this game with an ankle injury. Three other halfbacks are questionable for this game, leaving the Tigers depleted at the position: Ish Witter, Morgan Steward, and Tyler Hunt are all uncertain to play in this game. Defensive tackle Harold Brantley is out for the season with a leg injury. Backup running back Trevon Walters is out indefinitely with a knee injury.

 

Handicapping The Game
The Missouri offense does not look ready to explode, but the UConn offense is likely to get smothered by Missouri’s defense. This could be a game which ends 27-3 or 30-6. It does seem that Missouri can score just enough to cover.

College Football Pick: Missouri -21.5 -105 at Bookmaker