College Football Picks: Go 'Under' in Uneventful Tulane-Army Game

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, November 10, 2015 7:19 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2015 7:19 PM GMT

It takes talent to look at the Tulane-Army matchup Saturday and that's what I'm here to do. Let's review the college football odds and choose a pick for you.

Tulane Looking To Avoid Sixth Straight Loss
Tulane (2-7) is an American Athletic Conference team and won't be playing in a bowl game this season. The Green Wave have reached only two bowls this century: the Hawaii Bowl in 2002 and New Orleans Bowl in 2013. Tulane was a member of Conference USA both of those seasons. It finished 3-9 under coach Curtis Johnson last year in its first as a member of the AAC.

The Green Wave are off a 7-3 home loss on homecoming to UConn, their fifth straight defeat. It was a very rainy and windy day in New Orleans and the teams combined for 11 punts and neither offense gained more than 230 yards. The only touchdown was a Tulane pass by sophomore QB Tanner Lee that was picked off by the Huskies' Jamar Summers late in the first quarter and returned 67 yards.

Lee, back from missing a game due to a finger injury, finished the game 13-for-40 for 106 yards and the interception, while running back Dontrell Hilliard paced the running attack with 35 yards on eight carries. For the first time in his career, sophomore receiver Teddy Veal did not register a reception, which snapped a string of 20 straight games with one. Tulane had 140 total yards. Defensively, Tulane had 9.0 tackles for loss, including two each from linebacker Nico Marley and defensive tackle Tanzel Smart.

Tulane will have somewhat of an advantage in facing that Army option attack as the Green Wave have faced two similar schemes this season in Georgia Tech and Navy. Tulane lost to the Jackets 65-10, allowing 439 rushing yards on 56 carries. It lost at Navy 31-14 but held the Midshipmen to just 133 rushing yards. The Green Wave might have won that game if not for three turnovers.

The Green Wave rank 127th out of 128 FBS teams in total offense and 124th in scoring (16.3 points). They are 5-4 against the spread on college football odds this season and 4-5 'over/under.'

 

Army's First Home Game In Month
Independent Army (2-7) comes in on a two-game losing streak, both on the road. Last week it lost 20-3 at rival Air Force. The Black Knights had just nine first downs and 169 total yards. They rushed the ball 44 times but for only 124 yards. Ahmad Bradshaw had 42 yards rushing on 20 carries, while Aaron Kemper ran for 47 yards on 14 carries. Bradshaw attempted eight passes, the most since the season opener against Fordham (14) on Sept. 4. About the only interesting thing from that game was Army wore all white uniforms, including white helmets for the first time in its history.

Army simply doesn't even bother trying to throw the ball so, if it can't run, it can't win. Army is averaging 21.8 points per contest and ranks ninth nationally with 257.4 rushing yards per contest. Kemper, a fullback, leads the team in rushing with 431 yards on 70 carries. Kemper has reached 100 yards in two games this season. Bradshaw is second with 396 rushing yards. Bradshaw has attempted only 38 passes this year and completed 17 for 308 yards and three touchdowns. He missed the loss at Rice the week before Air Force with an injury. Edgar Allen Poe (great name!) leads the Black Knights with seven receptions for 202 yards and three touchdowns.

The Black Knights are No. 104 in scoring (21.8 ppg) and No. 126 in passing (70.4 ypg). How ugly is this game? The Black Knights’ two victories are against FCS opponent Bucknell and 1-9 Eastern Michigan. Tulane’s two wins are against FCS opponent Maine and 0-10 Central Florida.  Army is 4-4-1 ATS on college football picks and 3-6 O/U.

 

Last Meeting
Tulane leads the all-time series 9-9-1. The Black Knights have four of the past five meetings. The most recent was a 45-6 Army home in 2011. Tulane’s last win at West Point came in 2009, 17-16. Tulane and Army have played 15 times over the last 19 years. The only exceptions were 2005 and 2012-14.

I guess I have to have an opinion here. Clearly go 'under' the total. Take the points. Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its past seven vs. teams with a losing record. Army is 3-7 ATS in its past 10 vs. teams with a losing record. The 'under' is 4-1 in Army's past five at home. The 'under' is 4-0 in Tulane's past four. 

Free College Football Pick: Under 45 at GTBets

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