According to college football odds Georgia is currently a 2.5 point favorite. Florida has covered 7 of their last 10-games versus Georgia. The favorite has covered 4 of the last 5 in this series.
Great Defense and Anemic Offense
It’s not very difficult to dissect why the Florida Gators are off to a disappointing 4-3 start to the season. They possess one of the finest defensive units in the country, but their offense has been absolutely terrible. The Gators are 4th nationally in total defense allowing just 273.1 yards per game. The Florida offense is on the other side of the spectrum averaging just 336.9 yards per game which ranks 110th nationally. The Gators once vaunted pass offense has been totally inept averaging just 175.4 yards per contest. The offensive struggles weren’t helped when starting quarterback Jeff Driskel broke his right leg in game 3 of the season versus Tennessee. Junior Tyler Murphy has stepped in and done an admirable job, but lacks the wow factor that this offense desperately needs. The Gators enter Saturday’s contest having lost 2 in a row at the hands of LSU and Missouri in which they were outscored by a combined 53-23.
How to Salvage a Season in Athens
The Georgia Bulldogs entered this season with national championship aspirations. Now that those goals and dreams went by the wayside in their 4-3 start, the question becomes how they will respond the rest of the way? When breaking down the Bulldogs over their first 7-games they’re the polar opposite of their upcoming opponent. The offense has been dynamic for the better part of the season, while the defense has been downright pathetic by their standards. The Georgia offense is averaging a robust 475 yards per game which is good for 28th best in the country. The defense is allowing 390 yards per contest, and the pass defense in particular has been their biggest weakness. The Bulldogs are allowing 253.4 yards per game in the air which ranks 97th nationally. The disappointing start to the year is of no fault to senior quarterback Aaron Murray. Murray has thrown for 1938 yards with 17 touchdown passes and just 6 interceptions. Murray has also rushed for 88 yards and 5 touchdowns as well. Georgia enters the Florida game losers of 2 in a row. The Bulldogs have allowed 30-points or more in 6 of their first 7 games.
Both of these teams had much higher hopes entering the season. Both enter the contest having lost 2 in a row so something has to give. The Florida offense isn’t equipped to fully expose the porous Georgia defense. However, Aaron Murray and the Bulldogs offense are explosive enough to give the stellar Florida defense problems. My lean here for my College Football pick is on the small favorite.
NCAAF Pick: Georgia -2.5 over Florida