College Football Picks: Georgia State vs. Alabama

Steven Suarez

Friday, October 4, 2013 8:56 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 4, 2013 8:56 PM UTC

It should be a walk in the park for Alabama at home against Georgia State this weekend and anything different would be a surprise. Where should one look to place their college football picks in what is sure to be a blowout game?

Odds Overview

The number one team in the nation on their home turf up against a team that's winless on the season? Yes the college football odds are out of control, as you'd expect.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are favored by either 55 or 54.5 points depending on which sportsbook you're using. The total opened at 59.5 or so but has found its way down to 58.


Georgia State Panthers

As if their season wasn't going badly enough, now the Panthers have to deal with the best team in the country on the road.

So far, Georgia State has gone 0-4 on the season, with home losses to Samford (31-21), Chattanooga (42-14), and Jacksonville State (32-26 in overtime). Their defeat on the road came to West Virginia, in a game they lost by 34.

In those four losses, Georgia State has gone 2-0-1 ATS, having covered the spread in consecutive weeks heading into Saturday's matchup. They cashed as 10.5-point dogs against Jacksonville State and as 41-point pups versus the Mountaineers.

The loss to the undefeated Gamecocks was especially hurtful because the Panthers had fought their way back from a 23-9 deficit to send the game into overtime on a field goal as time expired. However, DaMarcus James scored on a short run in the extra period and that was that.

At least there were a few standout individual performances for Georgia State. Ronnie Bell had 250 passing yards and two touchdowns (one interception) and ran for 57 yards on 11 carries. Albert Wilson had a big day, catching seven passes for 158 yards and a score.

Alabama Crimson Tide

It was business as usual for the Crimson Tide last weekend. They shut out Ole Miss at home in a 25-0 victory and easily cashed for backers as 14-point favorites.

It was a typically dominant performance from Alabama in all three phases. They had 434 total yards of offense, 254 of which came on the ground, and the defense held the Rebels to 205 yards in all.

A.J. McCarron didn't have the best of showings, but it didn't matter with the way T.J. Yeldon and Kenyan Drake were running the ball. Yeldon had 17 rushes for 121 yards and a touchdown and Drake was close behind with 99 yards and a score of his own.

After blanking Ole Miss, Alabama is now allowing a measly 14.5 points per game, ranking them 13th in the country. They've already played the likes of Texas A&M and Virginia Tech as well, so that's no small feat.

Thus far this season, the Crimson Tide have gone 2-2 ATS. Will they be able get into the positive with a complete demolition of Georgia State this weekend?

Take a look at SBR's College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 6.

College Football Pick

Oh boy. These blowout games are always tough to predict when placing your college football picks, but a choice has to be made. 

There's no chance we can take Georgia State despite all of the points we would be getting. Thing is, Alabama wasn't clicking on all cylinders offensively last week and you better believe McCarron and company will want to right the ship this weekend against a vastly inferior opponent.

Even when the Crimson Tide's backups get into the game, they should still be able to dominate Georgia State on both sides of the ball. Take Alabama or stay away completely.

Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -54.5
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