College Football Picks For Texas AM Aggies vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

Texas A&M Players

Jay Pryce

Wednesday, September 28, 2016 11:39 PM GMT

No. 9 Texas A&M is laying double digit odds as they head to Columbia to square off against South Carolina. The point spread appears right on, but the total is far more tempting. Let's review both sides of this game as we share our winning predictions.

Texas A&M Aggies (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
The Aggies are the only SEC team with a perfect ATS record in 2016, playing a little more than 11 points better than the spread. The 17.5 points are the most they have laid in a SEC road contest since joining the conference in 2012.

Offensively, Texas A&M accrues 503.7 points per game, 11th best nationally. Senior quarterback Trevor Knight is third in the SEC in passing yards with 1,055 on 75 of 141 completions. He’s tossed 7 TDs and 2 INTs also. Knight is armed with one of the most talented wide receiver corps in college football, including Christian Kirk (21) and Josh Reynolds (17) each sitting in the top 10 for most catches in the conference.

Defensive coordinator John Chavis has done a remarkable job in only 17 games turning around a unit that ranked 102nd in total defense in 2014. Incredibly physical and aggressive, its allowing 16.0 points per game through four played. Three opponents have been against the Power Five to boot (UCLA, Auburn, Arkansas).

The run defense is most improved, allowing 128.3 yards per game as opposed to 200.7 last season. The secondary has been hit over the top a few times, but shouldn’t worry too much against a Gamecocks’ offensive throwing two passing touchdowns all season.

The unit may be without star defensive end Myles Garrett who is nursing a bad ankle following the team’s 45-24 win over Arkansas last Saturday. Garrett is being touted as possibly the best player available for the NFL draft.

 

South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
South Carolina’s 14.2 points per game are the fewest of all Power Five programs outside of Kansas (14.0) and Boston College (11.3). Injuries, inexperience, and miscues define the offense right now, and the fact head coach Will Muschamp, and defensive guru, has never had success piecing together a strong unit.

Freshman quarterback Brandon McIlwain has changed the complexion some after taking over for Perry Orth. But the fact the team mustered only 36 yards on 15 plays in the fourth quarter against a swiss-cheese Kentucky defense last week reveals serious underlying issues.

Defensively, Muschamp is getting the absolute best out of a talent-deficient secondary and overall young group. Its 0.22 points allowed per play is the 15th most efficient in the FBS. Most surprising it its super-low 6.2 yards per pass attempt allowed.

 

Final Analysis
The last time the Gamecocks lost a home game by more than 17 points was a 52-28 shock defeat as 10-point chalk against Texas A&M in the 2014 opener. They might suffer another on such deficit Saturday against the red-hot Aggies. The line is too steep to flirt with, but the total offers some value. Look for Texas A&M's wide receivers to light up the South Carolina secondary. OVER 47.5 is the College Football Pick.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

 

Free College Football Pick: Over 47.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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