College Football Picks: Five Upset Alerts for Week 5

Ross Benjamin

Friday, October 2, 2015 10:46 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 2, 2015 10:46 PM UTC

Our college football handicapping professional shares his top five upset alerts on Saturday’s card. Join us in reading his college football picks and insight.

West Virginia vs. Oklahoma 12:00 PM ET
Beware of the Mountaineers in this spot. They’re off to an impressive 3-0 start, and have shown significant improvement on the defensive side of the ball. Through their first three games they’ve allowed an average of 7.7 points per contest. Dana Holgorsen’s Mountaineer offense is once again performing at a high level, averaging 43.3 points and 543 yards per game. Oklahoma is coming off a closer than expected 52-38 home win against Tulsa, and their defense allowed 603 yards to the Golden Hurricane offense. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset on Saturday in Norman, Oklahoma.

College Football Pick: Play on West Virginia +7 (-115) at The Greek

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Toledo vs. Ball State 3:00 PM ET
Kudos goes to Iowa State for starting the season with three stellar wins over Arkansas, Iowa State, and Arkansas State. Granted they beat two “Power Five Conference” schools but let’s keep it real. Arkansas is no longer nationally ranked liked they were when the Rockets faced them. As a matter of fact, the Razorbacks hve lost three straight games in a row. Iowa State is a bottom feeder from the BIG 12, and Toledo needed a late touchdown to escape with a narrow 7 point home win. Ball State is only 2-2, but the Cardinals only losses came on the road against #16 Northwestern and #14 Texas A&M. As a matter of fact, they gave Northwestern quite a scare last Saturday as a 17.0 point underdog, evidenced by the 23-17 final score.

College Football Pick: Play on Ball State +7 (-125) at 5Dimes

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Georgia Southern vs. UL-Monroe 7:00 PM ET
UL-Monroe enters this week with a 1-2 record. However, their two losses have come on the road at #8 Georgia and #13 Alabama. Georgia Southern is off to a very good 3-1 start, but those wins have come against the like of Western Michigan, Citadel, and Idaho. They opened the year by getting shellacked 44-0 at West Virginia. The rigors of a brutal non-conference slate will pay dividends for UL-Monroe on Saturday. I like the home underdog in this game for one of my college football picks.

College Football Pick: Play on UL-Monroe +6 (-105) at Heritage

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Oregon vs. Colorado 10:00 PM ET
The “Mighty Ducks” have been humbled in 2015, and that was especially the case during last Saturday’s embarrassing 62-20 home to loss to Utah. They trailed 20-13 in that contest, and then allowed Utah to score 42 unanswered points. The Oregon defense has been awful this year, allowing 407 points and 475 yards per game. Colorado will have the momentum of entering this game on a three game winning streak, and their offense has especially performed well. According to college football odds at Bovada, they provide us with a favorable wagering value.

College Football Pick: Play on Colorado +8 (-110) at Bovada

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Fresno State vs. San Diego State 10:30 PM ET
Let me be blunt, both of these teams will be lucky to win four games this season. Now that I’ve cleared the air, two of Fresno’s three losses came against #3 Ole Miss and #10 Utah. The Bulldogs offense has show a consistency to move the ball despite a 1-3 record. The same can’t be said for San Diego State offense which has been border line anemic. The Aztecs previous time in this role wasn’t very pretty, losing 34-27 in overtime as a 17.0 point home favorite to South Alabama. It’s the lesser of two evils for me in this one.

College Football Pick: Play on Fresno State +9 (-110) at The Greek

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