College Football Picks: Expect a Blowout in Favor of Ole Miss But New Mexico State Will Cover +45

Joe Catalano

Thursday, October 8, 2015 5:56 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 8, 2015 5:56 PM GMT

After a disappointing loss to Florida, #14 Ole Miss (4-1, 2-1) faces possibly their easiest opponent of the season in New Mexico State (0-4, 0-2). This week, Ole Miss is a massive 45-point college football odds favorite.

A week removed from dethrowning the number 1 team in the land in the Alabama Crimson Tide, the Rebels, were defeated by the Florida Gators quite easily last week, 38-10, but this game will come down to "when will the Rebels take their starters out?" as this should be a blowout.

Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 10th at Vaught Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field in Oxford, Mississippi. As mentioned, 5Dimes lists the Rebels as a 45-point betting favorite on the college football odds board. Will Ole Miss be able to cover a spread larger that 6 touchdowns. Let's take a look.

 

A Big Letdown
When you beat the number 1 team in nation in Alabama, you would figure that Ole Miss would be oozing confidence, but that wasn't the case in "The Swamp" as Florida didn't just beat the Rebels, they won by 4 touchdowns.

Will Grier, who isn't a throwing quarterback, threw for 4 touchdowns against Ole Miss as the Gators took a 25-0 lead going into halftime.

Receiver, DeMarcus Robinson had his best game of the season against the Rebels, 2 yards shy of 100, while scoring a touchdown and this was a game that Ole Miss was never in. This could just be a case of Ole Miss being over-confident after one of the biggest wins in their history or this team is just overrated. Nonetheless, they get a week to catch their breath as they face a bottom-feeder in the New Mexico State Aggies. This game couldn't come at a better time and I'm sure the Rebels are not taking this game for granted as they've put more effort into practice this week.

 

Chad Kelly
Ole Miss is a primarily passing team at a 2/1 ratio in passing plays in comparison to running plays. Quarterback, Chad Kelly is the ring leader and he's had an outstanding season. Even in last week's loss, Kelly was still effective. This is a quarterback that won't beat himself. For the season, he has 1478 yards passing with 11 TD and 4 INT. Kelly isn't a major threat to run the ball unless it's a goaline situation as he has 3 rushing touchdowns on the season.

The Rebels have 3 receivers with 250 yards or more receiving and 6 receivers with 100 yards or more. Expect to see a lot of Laquon Treadwell (27 receptions, 374 yards ,1 TD) as Cody Core and Quincy Adeboyejo are the big play receivers.

Core and Adeboyejo have accounted for 8 receiving touchdowns. This is a passing offense, but Ole Miss can also run the ball on big 3rd down plays. Running back, Jaylen Walton has amassed almost 300 yards and 3 touchdowns on the season. The Aggies are in for a long afternoon despite their numbers. Ole Miss is in a different class of talent than their previous opponents, but are they the right college football pick for this game?

 

No Pushover
New Mexico State can put up the points. It's their defense that is the problem. Aside from allowing Florida to put a 61 spot up on them, they allow 45.6 points per game in their first 4 games of the season. Running back, Larry Rose Jr, has already amassed 579 yards and 6 TD's on 8.2 yards per carry. Can Ole Miss rebound and not let this heavy underdog get confidence is the question?

College Football Pick: New Mexico State +45 at 5Dimes (Ole Miss will win the game quite easily, but the Aggies have a legitimate offense).

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