College Football Picks: Double Rush Theory Produces 75% Winners

Sunday, December 6, 2015 4:07 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 6, 2015 4:07 PM UTC

This list is an indication of success that can be achieved with overland dominance in the world of College Football betting. Consider the results before making your College Football picks. 

<p style="text-align:center"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="" width="560"></iframe></p> <p>We are winding down a long journey in which we have analyzed a group of statistical indicators that point out a team’s success or lack of success at the point of attack.  These indicators in turn lead us to pointspread success when used in ways that have proven to be historically profitable.  This is a companion article to <a href="" target="_blank" title="College Football Picks: Gold Rush Your Way to 75% ATS Winners">Part I of this brief series</a>.  Each of these articles is meant to isolate teams from the 2014 CFB season whose statistics overland can help us to highlight early season trends and select winners and losers with our <a href="" target="_blank" title="College Football Free Picks">College Football picks</a> using the “Double Rush” theory.  This is yet another example of the fact that you can’t know where you are going, unless you know where you have been.  At the conclusion of the article, I will repeat the outstanding record of College Football Double Rushers.  </p> <p>In the chart that follows, I will point out the 2014 CFB teams that were dominated by their opposition at the point of attack.  The common characteristic of these teams is that they were all outrushed by an average of more than 100 YPG.  Along with other columns listed, this list will help us to isolate teams who are likely to be <a href="" target="_blank" title="Projecting 2015 College Football Defensive Duds">dominated overland</a> in the early going of the upcoming 2015 CFB season.  </p> <p> </p> <table border="10" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="3" style="line-height:normal;width:640px"> <tbody> <tr> <td> <p align="center"><strong>TEAM</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>CON</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>YRS</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>2014</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>SU</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>2015</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>ATS</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>OFF</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>RY</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>OFF</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>TY</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>DEF</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>RY</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>DEF</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>TY</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>DEF</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>RTN</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>DL</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>RTN</strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Georgia St.</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-11</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-6</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">98</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">377</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">303</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">497</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Idaho</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-10</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">140</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">412</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">248</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">462</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Illinois</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">117</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">367</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">239</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">456</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Iowa St.</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-10</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">124</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">372</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">246</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">529</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Kent St.</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-9</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-6</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">82</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">315</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">215</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">431</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>New Mexico St.</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-10</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-8</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">177</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">415</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">309</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">483</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">10</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>SMU</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-11</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-8</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">100</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">269</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">235</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">499</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>S. Mississippi</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-9</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-6</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">96</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">365</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">216</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">451</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Texas Tech</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-8</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">153</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">504</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">260</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">513</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>LA Monroe</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-8</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">69</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">349</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">183</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">373</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>UNLV</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-11</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">129</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">387</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">294</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">513</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Wake Forest</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-9</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">40</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">216</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">183</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">369</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Washington St.</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-9</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-8</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">40</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">520</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">146</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">442</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2</p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p> </p> <p>As you can see from the combined record of 34-122 SU, 60-85 ATS, you want little to do with these teams who get dominated at the point of attack.  A great example of how important a running game might be would be a look at Washington St.  Playing in the <a href="" target="_blank" title="Schedule Analysis &amp; Team Win Total Picks for Pac-12 Teams">pass-happy PAC 12</a> and coached by pass-game guru, Mike Leach, the Cougars passed for 480 YPG, the best in the nation, and outgained the opposition by an average of 78 YPG.  But because they were dominated at the point of attack, 146-40, the Cougars concluded the year with a mark of 3-9 SU, 3-8 ATS.  It was the 3<sup>rd</sup>consecutive losing season under Leach, who has proven that a passing game alone does not indicate success in the college football wars.</p> <p>This list, along with the companion list of teams who outrush their foes by 100 or more YPG in 2014, is only an indication of the success that can be achieved with overland dominance in the world of CFB.  Consider the results from the last 4 years in this category:</p> <p><strong>726-237 ATS (75%) …</strong></p> <p><strong>THE RECORD OF ANY TEAM WHO DOUBLE RUSHES THEIR OPPONENT IN A CONTEST</strong></p> <p>This list, along with its companion list of teams who outrush foes by an average of 100 YPG in 2014, will provide a solid head start for September handicapping.  After each team has played 3 or 4 games, and assuming an equal strength of schedule, you can begin to handicap the games based on the merits of the yardage for the current season.  Each week on this site we isolate trends to crush the <a href="" target="_blank" title="Browse available College Football odds">College Football odds</a> and highlighting the best bets on the card every week.</p>
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